India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 40°C in Lucknow on May 16 under clear skies, with minimums around 28°C, driving the market-implied 96.5% probability for 41°C or below as trader consensus aligns with this authoritative short-range projection backed by current dry pre-monsoon conditions and model agreement. Recent observations show highs near 39°C today, consistent with historical May averages of 39–41°C amid low humidity and light winds that limit extreme spikes. Realistic challenges include prolonged intense solar heating from unbroken clear skies or a sudden drop in evening cooling breezes, potentially nudging peaks to 42°C, though high-resolution models indicate low likelihood; final IMD airport measurements will resolve the market tomorrow evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
41°C or below 96.6%
42°C 2.6%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
最新
$12,143 交易量
最新
$12,143 交易量
2026-05-16
41°C or below
97%
42°C
3%
43°C
1%
44°C
1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 96.6%
42°C 2.6%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
最新
$12,143 交易量
最新
$12,143 交易量
2026-05-16
41°C or below
$1,437 交易量
97%
42°C
$1,160 交易量
3%
43°C
$858 交易量
1%
44°C
$732 交易量
1%
45°C
$1,613 交易量
<1%
46°C
$2,284 交易量
<1%
47°C
$752 交易量
<1%
48°C
$935 交易量
<1%
49°C
$1,411 交易量
<1%
50°C
$457 交易量
<1%
51°C or higher
$786 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 40°C in Lucknow on May 16 under clear skies, with minimums around 28°C, driving the market-implied 96.5% probability for 41°C or below as trader consensus aligns with this authoritative short-range projection backed by current dry pre-monsoon conditions and model agreement. Recent observations show highs near 39°C today, consistent with historical May averages of 39–41°C amid low humidity and light winds that limit extreme spikes. Realistic challenges include prolonged intense solar heating from unbroken clear skies or a sudden drop in evening cooling breezes, potentially nudging peaks to 42°C, though high-resolution models indicate low likelihood; final IMD airport measurements will resolve the market tomorrow evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
交易量
$12,143结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 40°C in Lucknow on May 16 under clear skies, with minimums around 28°C, driving the market-implied 96.5% probability for 41°C or below as trader consensus aligns with this authoritative short-range projection backed by current dry pre-monsoon conditions and model agreement. Recent observations show highs near 39°C today, consistent with historical May averages of 39–41°C amid low humidity and light winds that limit extreme spikes. Realistic challenges include prolonged intense solar heating from unbroken clear skies or a sudden drop in evening cooling breezes, potentially nudging peaks to 42°C, though high-resolution models indicate low likelihood; final IMD airport measurements will resolve the market tomorrow evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$12,143结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETIndia Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 40°C in Lucknow on May 16 under clear skies, with minimums around 28°C, driving the market-implied 96.5% probability for 41°C or below as trader consensus aligns with this authoritative short-range projection backed by current dry pre-monsoon conditions and model agreement. Recent observations show highs near 39°C today, consistent with historical May averages of 39–41°C amid low humidity and light winds that limit extreme spikes. Realistic challenges include prolonged intense solar heating from unbroken clear skies or a sudden drop in evening cooling breezes, potentially nudging peaks to 42°C, though high-resolution models indicate low likelihood; final IMD airport measurements will resolve the market tomorrow evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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