India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 15 under clear skies, driving trader consensus to 99.1% odds for 41°C or below. This positioning reflects yesterday's observed high of 37.3°C—2.5°C below normal—and stable atmospheric conditions with light winds, limiting solar heating potential despite May's climatological average near 41°C. Model consensus from IMD shows no heatwave signals, with highs expected mid-afternoon before sunset around 18:46 IST. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting peak heating by 2–3°C or unforecasted urban heat effects, though official observations and evening data releases will confirm the outcome amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
41°C or below 99.7%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
42°C <1%
$32,443 交易量
$32,443 交易量
2026-05-15
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.7%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
42°C <1%
$32,443 交易量
$32,443 交易量
2026-05-15
41°C or below
$3,755 交易量
100%
42°C
$5,124 交易量
<1%
43°C
$6,236 交易量
<1%
44°C
$3,592 交易量
<1%
45°C
$3,386 交易量
<1%
46°C
$3,172 交易量
<1%
47°C
$2,635 交易量
<1%
48°C
$2,228 交易量
<1%
49°C
$654 交易量
<1%
50°C
$779 交易量
<1%
51°C or higher
$882 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 15 under clear skies, driving trader consensus to 99.1% odds for 41°C or below. This positioning reflects yesterday's observed high of 37.3°C—2.5°C below normal—and stable atmospheric conditions with light winds, limiting solar heating potential despite May's climatological average near 41°C. Model consensus from IMD shows no heatwave signals, with highs expected mid-afternoon before sunset around 18:46 IST. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting peak heating by 2–3°C or unforecasted urban heat effects, though official observations and evening data releases will confirm the outcome amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$32,443结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 15 under clear skies, driving trader consensus to 99.1% odds for 41°C or below. This positioning reflects yesterday's observed high of 37.3°C—2.5°C below normal—and stable atmospheric conditions with light winds, limiting solar heating potential despite May's climatological average near 41°C. Model consensus from IMD shows no heatwave signals, with highs expected mid-afternoon before sunset around 18:46 IST. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting peak heating by 2–3°C or unforecasted urban heat effects, though official observations and evening data releases will confirm the outcome amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$32,443结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETIndia Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on May 15 under clear skies, driving trader consensus to 99.1% odds for 41°C or below. This positioning reflects yesterday's observed high of 37.3°C—2.5°C below normal—and stable atmospheric conditions with light winds, limiting solar heating potential despite May's climatological average near 41°C. Model consensus from IMD shows no heatwave signals, with highs expected mid-afternoon before sunset around 18:46 IST. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting peak heating by 2–3°C or unforecasted urban heat effects, though official observations and evening data releases will confirm the outcome amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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