Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate Lucknow’s maximum temperature on May 17 will likely peak near 39–40 °C under mostly clear skies with light winds, positioning the 41 °C-or-below outcome as the clear market leader at 85 %. Climatological baselines for mid-May place average highs between 39 °C and 42 °C, yet recent observations show persistent below-normal readings linked to lingering moisture from a western disturbance that has limited daytime heating. With only hours until resolution and no significant model shifts expected, traders have converged on the lower range, reflecting both current atmospheric stability and the narrow historical window for extreme spikes this early in the pre-monsoon period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日勒克瑙的最高温度?
41°C or below 85%
42°C 10%
43°C 2.6%
44°C 2.0%
41°C or below
85%
42°C
10%
43°C
3%
44°C
2%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 85%
42°C 10%
43°C 2.6%
44°C 2.0%
41°C or below
85%
42°C
10%
43°C
3%
44°C
2%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate Lucknow’s maximum temperature on May 17 will likely peak near 39–40 °C under mostly clear skies with light winds, positioning the 41 °C-or-below outcome as the clear market leader at 85 %. Climatological baselines for mid-May place average highs between 39 °C and 42 °C, yet recent observations show persistent below-normal readings linked to lingering moisture from a western disturbance that has limited daytime heating. With only hours until resolution and no significant model shifts expected, traders have converged on the lower range, reflecting both current atmospheric stability and the narrow historical window for extreme spikes this early in the pre-monsoon period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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