Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow point to a maximum temperature near 39–41°C on May 18, driven by light winds, limited daytime heating, and lingering moisture from earlier regional showers that have kept readings 2–4°C below the mid-May climatological average of 41–43°C. Official observations from the Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport station confirm this cooler pattern on May 15 (37.9°C) and May 14, reinforcing trader consensus that the 42°C-or-below outcome holds the dominant 78.5% implied probability. Resolution rests solely on the verified daily maximum reported by IMD, with any late surge unlikely given current atmospheric stability and diurnal cycles. Updated model runs and the evening IMD bulletin remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日勒克瑙的最高温度？
5月18日勒克瑙的最高温度？
42°C or below 79%
43°C 13%
44°C 6%
46°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
42°C or below
79%
43°C
13%
44°C
6%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C
<1%
52°C or higher
<1%
42°C or below 79%
43°C 13%
44°C 6%
46°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
42°C or below
$129 交易量
79%
43°C
$47 交易量
13%
44°C
$69 交易量
6%
45°C
$158 交易量
<1%
46°C
$113 交易量
<1%
47°C
$416 交易量
<1%
48°C
$170 交易量
<1%
49°C
$452 交易量
<1%
50°C
$963 交易量
<1%
51°C
$973 交易量
<1%
52°C or higher
$573 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow point to a maximum temperature near 39–41°C on May 18, driven by light winds, limited daytime heating, and lingering moisture from earlier regional showers that have kept readings 2–4°C below the mid-May climatological average of 41–43°C. Official observations from the Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport station confirm this cooler pattern on May 15 (37.9°C) and May 14, reinforcing trader consensus that the 42°C-or-below outcome holds the dominant 78.5% implied probability. Resolution rests solely on the verified daily maximum reported by IMD, with any late surge unlikely given current atmospheric stability and diurnal cycles. Updated model runs and the evening IMD bulletin remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$4,063结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow point to a maximum temperature near 39–41°C on May 18, driven by light winds, limited daytime heating, and lingering moisture from earlier regional showers that have kept readings 2–4°C below the mid-May climatological average of 41–43°C. Official observations from the Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport station confirm this cooler pattern on May 15 (37.9°C) and May 14, reinforcing trader consensus that the 42°C-or-below outcome holds the dominant 78.5% implied probability. Resolution rests solely on the verified daily maximum reported by IMD, with any late surge unlikely given current atmospheric stability and diurnal cycles. Updated model runs and the evening IMD bulletin remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,063结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow point to a maximum temperature near 39–41°C on May 18, driven by light winds, limited daytime heating, and lingering moisture from earlier regional showers that have kept readings 2–4°C below the mid-May climatological average of 41–43°C. Official observations from the Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport station confirm this cooler pattern on May 15 (37.9°C) and May 14, reinforcing trader consensus that the 42°C-or-below outcome holds the dominant 78.5% implied probability. Resolution rests solely on the verified daily maximum reported by IMD, with any late surge unlikely given current atmospheric stability and diurnal cycles. Updated model runs and the evening IMD bulletin remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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