Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s expected overnight minimum on May 20 in the 10–13 °C range, with the tight clustering of market odds around 11–13 °C reflecting model consensus on mild Atlantic flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Spring temperature variability remains high because frontal systems can shift minimum readings by 2–3 °C within 48 hours, while current soil moisture and weak high-pressure ridging suppress stronger nocturnal drops. Updated model runs scheduled for May 17–18 will narrow the spread and likely move the leading probabilities as new observational data arrive.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月20日伦敦最低气温？
5月20日伦敦最低气温？
13°C 34%
12°C 23%
14°C 17%
11°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-05-20
7°C或以下
1%
8°C
5%
9°C
5%
10°C
12%
11°C
19%
12°C
21%
13°C
21%
14°C
17%
15°C
8%
16°C
5%
17°C或更高
2%
13°C 34%
12°C 23%
14°C 17%
11°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-05-20
7°C或以下
$60 交易量
1%
8°C
$63 交易量
5%
9°C
$6 交易量
5%
10°C
$6 交易量
12%
11°C
$25 交易量
19%
12°C
$6 交易量
21%
13°C
$16 交易量
21%
14°C
$0 交易量
17%
15°C
$6 交易量
8%
16°C
$14 交易量
5%
17°C或更高
$76 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s expected overnight minimum on May 20 in the 10–13 °C range, with the tight clustering of market odds around 11–13 °C reflecting model consensus on mild Atlantic flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Spring temperature variability remains high because frontal systems can shift minimum readings by 2–3 °C within 48 hours, while current soil moisture and weak high-pressure ridging suppress stronger nocturnal drops. Updated model runs scheduled for May 17–18 will narrow the spread and likely move the leading probabilities as new observational data arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$278结束日期
2026-05-20市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s expected overnight minimum on May 20 in the 10–13 °C range, with the tight clustering of market odds around 11–13 °C reflecting model consensus on mild Atlantic flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Spring temperature variability remains high because frontal systems can shift minimum readings by 2–3 °C within 48 hours, while current soil moisture and weak high-pressure ridging suppress stronger nocturnal drops. Updated model runs scheduled for May 17–18 will narrow the spread and likely move the leading probabilities as new observational data arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$278结束日期
2026-05-20市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s expected overnight minimum on May 20 in the 10–13 °C range, with the tight clustering of market odds around 11–13 °C reflecting model consensus on mild Atlantic flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Spring temperature variability remains high because frontal systems can shift minimum readings by 2–3 °C within 48 hours, while current soil moisture and weak high-pressure ridging suppress stronger nocturnal drops. Updated model runs scheduled for May 17–18 will narrow the spread and likely move the leading probabilities as new observational data arrive.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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