Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime high near 21–22 °C under partly cloudy skies, with a 40–60 % chance of afternoon showers that limit solar heating and cap peak readings. These conditions align with mid-May climatology for the region, where typical highs hover around 18 °C but can rise several degrees under clear or partly cloudy flow before moisture and cloud cover intervene. Trader consensus has clustered sharply on the 21 °C outcome at 80 % implied probability, reflecting the narrow range between forecast guidance and historical model performance for similar spring setups. Any late-day clearing or reduced shower coverage could push readings to 22 °C, though current model consensus favors the lower end of that window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
21°C 81%
22°C 17%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$134,538 交易量
$134,538 交易量
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
81%
22°C
17%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 81%
22°C 17%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$134,538 交易量
$134,538 交易量
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
81%
22°C
17%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime high near 21–22 °C under partly cloudy skies, with a 40–60 % chance of afternoon showers that limit solar heating and cap peak readings. These conditions align with mid-May climatology for the region, where typical highs hover around 18 °C but can rise several degrees under clear or partly cloudy flow before moisture and cloud cover intervene. Trader consensus has clustered sharply on the 21 °C outcome at 80 % implied probability, reflecting the narrow range between forecast guidance and historical model performance for similar spring setups. Any late-day clearing or reduced shower coverage could push readings to 22 °C, though current model consensus favors the lower end of that window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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