Recent forecast model runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Toronto's May 17 daytime high hovering between 23°C and 27°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, wind direction, and a weak frontal passage. This scientific variability explains the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities across 23–27°C outcomes. Historical May climatology places average highs near 18–20°C, yet ongoing spring warming patterns and rapid diurnal temperature swings amplify the range of possible peaks. Official guidance from Environment and Climate Change Canada, including updated observational data later today, will further constrain these projections ahead of final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日多伦多气温最高？
5月17日多伦多气温最高？
25°C 24%
27°C或更高 23.8%
24°C 23%
23°C 22%
最新
$25,730 交易量
最新
$25,730 交易量
2026-05-17
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
22%
24°C
23%
25°C
24%
26°C
12%
27°C或更高
24%
25°C 24%
27°C或更高 23.8%
24°C 23%
23°C 22%
最新
$25,730 交易量
最新
$25,730 交易量
2026-05-17
17°C or below
$4,926 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,730 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,953 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,659 交易量
1%
21°C
$2,019 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,675 交易量
4%
23°C
$1,990 交易量
22%
24°C
$1,582 交易量
23%
25°C
$1,823 交易量
24%
26°C
$2,410 交易量
12%
27°C或更高
$3,963 交易量
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast model runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Toronto's May 17 daytime high hovering between 23°C and 27°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, wind direction, and a weak frontal passage. This scientific variability explains the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities across 23–27°C outcomes. Historical May climatology places average highs near 18–20°C, yet ongoing spring warming patterns and rapid diurnal temperature swings amplify the range of possible peaks. Official guidance from Environment and Climate Change Canada, including updated observational data later today, will further constrain these projections ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$25,730结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast model runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Toronto's May 17 daytime high hovering between 23°C and 27°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, wind direction, and a weak frontal passage. This scientific variability explains the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities across 23–27°C outcomes. Historical May climatology places average highs near 18–20°C, yet ongoing spring warming patterns and rapid diurnal temperature swings amplify the range of possible peaks. Official guidance from Environment and Climate Change Canada, including updated observational data later today, will further constrain these projections ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$25,730结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Toronto's May 17 daytime high hovering between 23°C and 27°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, wind direction, and a weak frontal passage. This scientific variability explains the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities across 23–27°C outcomes. Historical May climatology places average highs near 18–20°C, yet ongoing spring warming patterns and rapid diurnal temperature swings amplify the range of possible peaks. Official guidance from Environment and Climate Change Canada, including updated observational data later today, will further constrain these projections ahead of final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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