Trader consensus around six or seven magnitude 5.5-or-greater earthquakes this week reflects the typical week-to-week variability in global seismicity tracked by the USGS. Earthquake rates follow a Gutenberg-Richter distribution, so independent tectonic events and aftershock sequences can easily shift totals by several events even without a major mainshock. Recent monitoring shows no large clusters along the Pacific Ring of Fire or other high-rate zones, keeping counts near the lower end of historical weekly averages. Final resolution will depend on the USGS comprehensive catalog through May 17, with official magnitude and location assignments determining whether totals settle at six, seven, or move higher if late aftershocks are confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
7 35.7%
6 35%
8 11.0%
9 6.5%
$113,086 交易量
$113,086 交易量
2026-05-17
≤3
<1%
4
1%
5
1%
6
35%
7
31%
8
16%
9
6%
>9
2%
7 35.7%
6 35%
8 11.0%
9 6.5%
$113,086 交易量
$113,086 交易量
2026-05-17
≤3
$49,833 交易量
<1%
4
$19,210 交易量
1%
5
$17,774 交易量
1%
6
$1,416 交易量
35%
7
$1,458 交易量
31%
8
$3,965 交易量
16%
9
$3,599 交易量
6%
>9
$15,831 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader consensus around six or seven magnitude 5.5-or-greater earthquakes this week reflects the typical week-to-week variability in global seismicity tracked by the USGS. Earthquake rates follow a Gutenberg-Richter distribution, so independent tectonic events and aftershock sequences can easily shift totals by several events even without a major mainshock. Recent monitoring shows no large clusters along the Pacific Ring of Fire or other high-rate zones, keeping counts near the lower end of historical weekly averages. Final resolution will depend on the USGS comprehensive catalog through May 17, with official magnitude and location assignments determining whether totals settle at six, seven, or move higher if late aftershocks are confirmed.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市场开放时间： May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$113,086结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader consensus around six or seven magnitude 5.5-or-greater earthquakes this week reflects the typical week-to-week variability in global seismicity tracked by the USGS. Earthquake rates follow a Gutenberg-Richter distribution, so independent tectonic events and aftershock sequences can easily shift totals by several events even without a major mainshock. Recent monitoring shows no large clusters along the Pacific Ring of Fire or other high-rate zones, keeping counts near the lower end of historical weekly averages. Final resolution will depend on the USGS comprehensive catalog through May 17, with official magnitude and location assignments determining whether totals settle at six, seven, or move higher if late aftershocks are confirmed.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$113,086结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around six or seven magnitude 5.5-or-greater earthquakes this week reflects the typical week-to-week variability in global seismicity tracked by the USGS. Earthquake rates follow a Gutenberg-Richter distribution, so independent tectonic events and aftershock sequences can easily shift totals by several events even without a major mainshock. Recent monitoring shows no large clusters along the Pacific Ring of Fire or other high-rate zones, keeping counts near the lower end of historical weekly averages. Final resolution will depend on the USGS comprehensive catalog through May 17, with official magnitude and location assignments determining whether totals settle at six, seven, or move higher if late aftershocks are confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题