Recent global seismic quietude, with no magnitude 6.5 or greater events recorded in the preceding week according to USGS monitoring, underpins trader preference for zero occurrences during May 18–24. Historical USGS records show roughly 15–20 such quakes worldwide each year, equating to an average of 0.3–0.4 per seven-day window and supporting the 53.5% implied probability for none. Absent active subduction-zone clusters or notable foreshock sequences in major fault systems, the market reflects baseline rates rather than elevated risk. Resolution hinges strictly on USGS-verified magnitudes and timing within the exact interval, with fresh catalog updates likely to confirm the low-activity trend.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?
0 53%
1 37%
2 12%
3 4.9%
最新
最新
2026-05-24
0
53%
1
37%
2
12%
3
5%
4
2%
5
1%
>5
<1%
0 53%
1 37%
2 12%
3 4.9%
最新
最新
2026-05-24
0
$188 交易量
53%
1
$88 交易量
37%
2
$68 交易量
12%
3
$246 交易量
5%
4
$65 交易量
2%
5
$103 交易量
1%
>5
$243 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent global seismic quietude, with no magnitude 6.5 or greater events recorded in the preceding week according to USGS monitoring, underpins trader preference for zero occurrences during May 18–24. Historical USGS records show roughly 15–20 such quakes worldwide each year, equating to an average of 0.3–0.4 per seven-day window and supporting the 53.5% implied probability for none. Absent active subduction-zone clusters or notable foreshock sequences in major fault systems, the market reflects baseline rates rather than elevated risk. Resolution hinges strictly on USGS-verified magnitudes and timing within the exact interval, with fresh catalog updates likely to confirm the low-activity trend.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
交易量
$1,000结束日期
2026-05-24市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent global seismic quietude, with no magnitude 6.5 or greater events recorded in the preceding week according to USGS monitoring, underpins trader preference for zero occurrences during May 18–24. Historical USGS records show roughly 15–20 such quakes worldwide each year, equating to an average of 0.3–0.4 per seven-day window and supporting the 53.5% implied probability for none. Absent active subduction-zone clusters or notable foreshock sequences in major fault systems, the market reflects baseline rates rather than elevated risk. Resolution hinges strictly on USGS-verified magnitudes and timing within the exact interval, with fresh catalog updates likely to confirm the low-activity trend.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$1,000结束日期
2026-05-24市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global seismic quietude, with no magnitude 6.5 or greater events recorded in the preceding week according to USGS monitoring, underpins trader preference for zero occurrences during May 18–24. Historical USGS records show roughly 15–20 such quakes worldwide each year, equating to an average of 0.3–0.4 per seven-day window and supporting the 53.5% implied probability for none. Absent active subduction-zone clusters or notable foreshock sequences in major fault systems, the market reflects baseline rates rather than elevated risk. Resolution hinges strictly on USGS-verified magnitudes and timing within the exact interval, with fresh catalog updates likely to confirm the low-activity trend.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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