Current forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center show solar activity remaining at low levels through May 23, with only minor G1 geomagnetic storming possible on May 17–18 from ongoing coronal hole high-speed stream effects and a glancing coronal mass ejection. No strong solar flares or significant Earth-directed eruptions are anticipated in the latest model runs, keeping the probability of multiple major events low. This quiet baseline aligns with trader consensus favoring zero or one event, as historical patterns during Solar Cycle 25's maximum phase show that sustained high-speed streams rarely produce the sustained Kp indices needed for major storm classification without fresh coronal mass ejections. Updated three-day outlooks and daily solar wind data will provide the next clear signals for any shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 17 - May 23)
How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 17 - May 23)
0 82%
1 41%
2 39%
3 32%
最新
最新
2026-05-23
0
65%
1
41%
2
39%
3
32%
4
22%
5
2%
6+
2%
0 82%
1 41%
2 39%
3 32%
最新
最新
2026-05-23
0
$14 交易量
65%
1
$0 交易量
41%
2
$0 交易量
39%
3
$0 交易量
32%
4
$50 交易量
22%
5
$91 交易量
2%
6+
$133 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Current forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center show solar activity remaining at low levels through May 23, with only minor G1 geomagnetic storming possible on May 17–18 from ongoing coronal hole high-speed stream effects and a glancing coronal mass ejection. No strong solar flares or significant Earth-directed eruptions are anticipated in the latest model runs, keeping the probability of multiple major events low. This quiet baseline aligns with trader consensus favoring zero or one event, as historical patterns during Solar Cycle 25's maximum phase show that sustained high-speed streams rarely produce the sustained Kp indices needed for major storm classification without fresh coronal mass ejections. Updated three-day outlooks and daily solar wind data will provide the next clear signals for any shifts.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
交易量
$288结束日期
2026-05-23市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Current forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center show solar activity remaining at low levels through May 23, with only minor G1 geomagnetic storming possible on May 17–18 from ongoing coronal hole high-speed stream effects and a glancing coronal mass ejection. No strong solar flares or significant Earth-directed eruptions are anticipated in the latest model runs, keeping the probability of multiple major events low. This quiet baseline aligns with trader consensus favoring zero or one event, as historical patterns during Solar Cycle 25's maximum phase show that sustained high-speed streams rarely produce the sustained Kp indices needed for major storm classification without fresh coronal mass ejections. Updated three-day outlooks and daily solar wind data will provide the next clear signals for any shifts.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
交易量
$288结束日期
2026-05-23市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center show solar activity remaining at low levels through May 23, with only minor G1 geomagnetic storming possible on May 17–18 from ongoing coronal hole high-speed stream effects and a glancing coronal mass ejection. No strong solar flares or significant Earth-directed eruptions are anticipated in the latest model runs, keeping the probability of multiple major events low. This quiet baseline aligns with trader consensus favoring zero or one event, as historical patterns during Solar Cycle 25's maximum phase show that sustained high-speed streams rarely produce the sustained Kp indices needed for major storm classification without fresh coronal mass ejections. Updated three-day outlooks and daily solar wind data will provide the next clear signals for any shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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