Recent NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center observations confirm persistently low solar activity throughout May 10–16, with only an isolated M5.8 flare from active region AR4436 on May 10 generating an R2 radio blackout and no recorded G3+ geomagnetic storms, S3+ radiation storms, or R3+ blackouts. Quiet solar wind speeds near 400 km/s and subdued Kp indices have suppressed conditions, aligning with the 91% market-implied probability for zero major events. Forecasters note a modest chance of an X-class flare or coronal hole high-speed stream later in the week, but models currently limit any impacts to G1 levels at most, with final resolution hinging on real-time GOES X-ray flux and SWPC alerts through tonight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 10 - May 16)
How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 10 - May 16)
0 94%
4 21.1%
1 3.2%
2 <1%
$1,025 交易量
$1,025 交易量
2026-05-16
0
94%
1
3%
2
1%
3
26%
4
21%
5
1%
6+
1%
0 94%
4 21.1%
1 3.2%
2 <1%
$1,025 交易量
$1,025 交易量
2026-05-16
0
$625 交易量
94%
1
$53 交易量
3%
2
$61 交易量
1%
3
$92 交易量
26%
4
$59 交易量
21%
5
$56 交易量
1%
6+
$80 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 10, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center observations confirm persistently low solar activity throughout May 10–16, with only an isolated M5.8 flare from active region AR4436 on May 10 generating an R2 radio blackout and no recorded G3+ geomagnetic storms, S3+ radiation storms, or R3+ blackouts. Quiet solar wind speeds near 400 km/s and subdued Kp indices have suppressed conditions, aligning with the 91% market-implied probability for zero major events. Forecasters note a modest chance of an X-class flare or coronal hole high-speed stream later in the week, but models currently limit any impacts to G1 levels at most, with final resolution hinging on real-time GOES X-ray flux and SWPC alerts through tonight.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 10, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
市场开放时间： May 9, 2026, 10:49 AM ET
交易量
$1,025结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 10:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 10, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center observations confirm persistently low solar activity throughout May 10–16, with only an isolated M5.8 flare from active region AR4436 on May 10 generating an R2 radio blackout and no recorded G3+ geomagnetic storms, S3+ radiation storms, or R3+ blackouts. Quiet solar wind speeds near 400 km/s and subdued Kp indices have suppressed conditions, aligning with the 91% market-implied probability for zero major events. Forecasters note a modest chance of an X-class flare or coronal hole high-speed stream later in the week, but models currently limit any impacts to G1 levels at most, with final resolution hinging on real-time GOES X-ray flux and SWPC alerts through tonight.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 10, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 16, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
交易量
$1,025结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 10:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center observations confirm persistently low solar activity throughout May 10–16, with only an isolated M5.8 flare from active region AR4436 on May 10 generating an R2 radio blackout and no recorded G3+ geomagnetic storms, S3+ radiation storms, or R3+ blackouts. Quiet solar wind speeds near 400 km/s and subdued Kp indices have suppressed conditions, aligning with the 91% market-implied probability for zero major events. Forecasters note a modest chance of an X-class flare or coronal hole high-speed stream later in the week, but models currently limit any impacts to G1 levels at most, with final resolution hinging on real-time GOES X-ray flux and SWPC alerts through tonight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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