Latest National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance project a daily high near 54°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, placing the 54-55°F outcome at the forefront with 50% implied probability. Persistent marine-layer clouds and onshore flow from the Pacific have moderated daytime warming, aligning conditions with Seattle’s mid-May climatology of upper 50s to low 60s. Recent revisions show no strong warm-air advection or offshore flow to push readings higher, while the absence of significant cooling mechanisms keeps lower bins competitive but secondary. Traders are closely watching afternoon observations and final model runs for any last adjustments ahead of official resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月16日西雅图的最高温度?
54-55°F 49%
52-53°F 25%
56-57°F 22%
50-51°F 11%
$62,077 交易量
$62,077 交易量
47°F或更低
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
11%
52-53°F
25%
54-55°F
49%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F或更高
<1%
54-55°F 49%
52-53°F 25%
56-57°F 22%
50-51°F 11%
$62,077 交易量
$62,077 交易量
47°F或更低
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
11%
52-53°F
25%
54-55°F
49%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Latest National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance project a daily high near 54°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, placing the 54-55°F outcome at the forefront with 50% implied probability. Persistent marine-layer clouds and onshore flow from the Pacific have moderated daytime warming, aligning conditions with Seattle’s mid-May climatology of upper 50s to low 60s. Recent revisions show no strong warm-air advection or offshore flow to push readings higher, while the absence of significant cooling mechanisms keeps lower bins competitive but secondary. Traders are closely watching afternoon observations and final model runs for any last adjustments ahead of official resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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