Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting numerical guidance currently project a daily high near 63°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 18, placing the outcome well above the 58°F threshold and aligning with the market’s dominant 99.2% implied probability for that bin. This expectation reflects typical mid-May climatology in the Pacific Northwest, where onshore flow often stabilizes daytime temperatures in the low-to-mid 60s, combined with the absence of any strong cold-air advection or marine layer strengthening in the latest runs. Minor uncertainty remains from potential shifts in the 850-hPa thermal ridge or unexpected cloud cover that could trim the high by a degree or two, though such revisions would still keep readings above 58°F in nearly all ensemble members.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日西雅图的最高温度?
58°F或更高 99.2%
56-57°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$11,418 交易量
$11,418 交易量
39°F或以下
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F或更高
99%
58°F或更高 99.2%
56-57°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$11,418 交易量
$11,418 交易量
39°F或以下
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F或更高
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting numerical guidance currently project a daily high near 63°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 18, placing the outcome well above the 58°F threshold and aligning with the market’s dominant 99.2% implied probability for that bin. This expectation reflects typical mid-May climatology in the Pacific Northwest, where onshore flow often stabilizes daytime temperatures in the low-to-mid 60s, combined with the absence of any strong cold-air advection or marine layer strengthening in the latest runs. Minor uncertainty remains from potential shifts in the 850-hPa thermal ridge or unexpected cloud cover that could trim the high by a degree or two, though such revisions would still keep readings above 58°F in nearly all ensemble members.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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