Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs place the daytime high near 77°F at New York City’s official LaGuardia Airport station, driven by building high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light westerly flow that limits afternoon mixing. This consensus accounts for the market’s tight clustering around the 76–77°F and 78–79°F buckets, with traders assigning the modest edge to the higher range due to urban heat-island amplification and potential late-day warming under stable conditions. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 72°F, so today’s readings sit slightly above normal yet remain within typical spring variability. No major frontal systems or significant moisture advection are expected to alter the outcome before evening, keeping resolution criteria focused on the single highest hourly reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 34%
74-75°F 19%
80-81°F 8.5%
$53,723 交易量
$53,723 交易量
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 34%
74-75°F 19%
80-81°F 8.5%
$53,723 交易量
$53,723 交易量
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs place the daytime high near 77°F at New York City’s official LaGuardia Airport station, driven by building high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light westerly flow that limits afternoon mixing. This consensus accounts for the market’s tight clustering around the 76–77°F and 78–79°F buckets, with traders assigning the modest edge to the higher range due to urban heat-island amplification and potential late-day warming under stable conditions. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 72°F, so today’s readings sit slightly above normal yet remain within typical spring variability. No major frontal systems or significant moisture advection are expected to alter the outcome before evening, keeping resolution criteria focused on the single highest hourly reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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