Latest Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecasts and ensemble models like ECMWF project Busan's May 16 high temperature clustering around 28–29°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, fostering subsidence, clear skies, and warm southerly flow—well above the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. This warm spell follows May 14's observed 26°C peak and an early 2026 spring trend with above-seasonal norms, driving trader consensus toward 28°C (37.5% implied probability) over 29°C (28.0%). Differentiating factors include coastal sea-breeze timing: early onshore flow could cap peaks at 28°C via increased low clouds and humidity, while delayed onset allows fuller insolation for 29°C. Monitor KMA's afternoon update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official Busan station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月16日釜山气温最高？
5月16日釜山气温最高？
28°C 38%
27°C 25%
29°C 23%
30°C 10.6%
最新
$16,357 交易量
最新
$16,357 交易量
2026-05-16
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
25%
28°C
38%
29°C
23%
30°C
11%
31°C
2%
32°C或更高
<1%
28°C 38%
27°C 25%
29°C 23%
30°C 10.6%
最新
$16,357 交易量
最新
$16,357 交易量
2026-05-16
22°C或以下
$1,004 交易量
<1%
23°C
$638 交易量
<1%
24°C
$826 交易量
<1%
25°C
$5,538 交易量
1%
26°C
$1,714 交易量
5%
27°C
$426 交易量
25%
28°C
$578 交易量
38%
29°C
$1,088 交易量
23%
30°C
$738 交易量
11%
31°C
$1,006 交易量
2%
32°C或更高
$2,800 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecasts and ensemble models like ECMWF project Busan's May 16 high temperature clustering around 28–29°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, fostering subsidence, clear skies, and warm southerly flow—well above the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. This warm spell follows May 14's observed 26°C peak and an early 2026 spring trend with above-seasonal norms, driving trader consensus toward 28°C (37.5% implied probability) over 29°C (28.0%). Differentiating factors include coastal sea-breeze timing: early onshore flow could cap peaks at 28°C via increased low clouds and humidity, while delayed onset allows fuller insolation for 29°C. Monitor KMA's afternoon update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official Busan station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$16,357结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecasts and ensemble models like ECMWF project Busan's May 16 high temperature clustering around 28–29°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, fostering subsidence, clear skies, and warm southerly flow—well above the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. This warm spell follows May 14's observed 26°C peak and an early 2026 spring trend with above-seasonal norms, driving trader consensus toward 28°C (37.5% implied probability) over 29°C (28.0%). Differentiating factors include coastal sea-breeze timing: early onshore flow could cap peaks at 28°C via increased low clouds and humidity, while delayed onset allows fuller insolation for 29°C. Monitor KMA's afternoon update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official Busan station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$16,357结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:11 AM ETLatest Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecasts and ensemble models like ECMWF project Busan's May 16 high temperature clustering around 28–29°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, fostering subsidence, clear skies, and warm southerly flow—well above the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. This warm spell follows May 14's observed 26°C peak and an early 2026 spring trend with above-seasonal norms, driving trader consensus toward 28°C (37.5% implied probability) over 29°C (28.0%). Differentiating factors include coastal sea-breeze timing: early onshore flow could cap peaks at 28°C via increased low clouds and humidity, while delayed onset allows fuller insolation for 29°C. Monitor KMA's afternoon update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official Busan station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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