Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Moscow high temperature of 22°C at 44% implied probability, reflecting the latest short-range forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models, which project daytime peaks of 21–23°C amid cloudy skies, short-term heavy rain, and thunderstorms. Yesterday's observed maximum of 22°C at Vnukovo International Airport—per NOAA records—provides a recent baseline, while southeasterly winds at 6–11 m/s usher mild air masses but foster instability capping solar heating. Above-average May climatology (historical highs near 19°C) supports this positioning, though cloud cover and precipitation introduce uncertainty; intraday observations will refine the outcome before evening resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on May 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 15?
22°C 58.1%
23°C 26.4%
24°C 5.7%
25°C 3.0%
$31,602 交易量
$31,602 交易量
2026-05-15
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
58%
23°C
26%
24°C
6%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 58.1%
23°C 26.4%
24°C 5.7%
25°C 3.0%
$31,602 交易量
$31,602 交易量
2026-05-15
20°C
$3,035 交易量
<1%
21°C
$3,844 交易量
1%
22°C
$3,317 交易量
58%
23°C
$2,594 交易量
26%
24°C
$2,133 交易量
6%
25°C
$3,491 交易量
3%
26°C or higher
$4,251 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Moscow high temperature of 22°C at 44% implied probability, reflecting the latest short-range forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models, which project daytime peaks of 21–23°C amid cloudy skies, short-term heavy rain, and thunderstorms. Yesterday's observed maximum of 22°C at Vnukovo International Airport—per NOAA records—provides a recent baseline, while southeasterly winds at 6–11 m/s usher mild air masses but foster instability capping solar heating. Above-average May climatology (historical highs near 19°C) supports this positioning, though cloud cover and precipitation introduce uncertainty; intraday observations will refine the outcome before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
交易量
$31,602结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Moscow high temperature of 22°C at 44% implied probability, reflecting the latest short-range forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models, which project daytime peaks of 21–23°C amid cloudy skies, short-term heavy rain, and thunderstorms. Yesterday's observed maximum of 22°C at Vnukovo International Airport—per NOAA records—provides a recent baseline, while southeasterly winds at 6–11 m/s usher mild air masses but foster instability capping solar heating. Above-average May climatology (historical highs near 19°C) supports this positioning, though cloud cover and precipitation introduce uncertainty; intraday observations will refine the outcome before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$31,602结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Moscow high temperature of 22°C at 44% implied probability, reflecting the latest short-range forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models, which project daytime peaks of 21–23°C amid cloudy skies, short-term heavy rain, and thunderstorms. Yesterday's observed maximum of 22°C at Vnukovo International Airport—per NOAA records—provides a recent baseline, while southeasterly winds at 6–11 m/s usher mild air masses but foster instability capping solar heating. Above-average May climatology (historical highs near 19°C) supports this positioning, though cloud cover and precipitation introduce uncertainty; intraday observations will refine the outcome before evening resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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