Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast issued May 14 projects a 25°C maximum temperature for Tokyo on May 15 under partly sunny then cloudy conditions with just 10% precipitation chance, anchoring trader sentiment with 24°C leading at 39% implied probability followed closely by 23°C (26.5%) and 25°C (23.5%). This reflects mesoscale model consensus amid a high-pressure ridge fostering above-normal spring warmth, building on recent highs near 25-26°C over May 13-14 that exceeded mid-May climatological average of 23.5°C. Urban heat island effects and minor cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, with official station observations resolving the market; expect refined guidance in tomorrow's update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 15?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 15?
24°C 40%
23°C 28%
25°C 23%
26°C 8%
最新
$26,704 交易量
最新
$26,704 交易量
2026-05-15
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
28%
24°C
40%
25°C
23%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
4%
24°C 40%
23°C 28%
25°C 23%
26°C 8%
最新
$26,704 交易量
最新
$26,704 交易量
2026-05-15
17°C or below
$2,425 交易量
<1%
18°C
$2,594 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,685 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,519 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,758 交易量
1%
22°C
$3,167 交易量
3%
23°C
$3,138 交易量
28%
24°C
$2,515 交易量
40%
25°C
$2,289 交易量
23%
26°C
$1,747 交易量
8%
27°C or higher
$2,901 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast issued May 14 projects a 25°C maximum temperature for Tokyo on May 15 under partly sunny then cloudy conditions with just 10% precipitation chance, anchoring trader sentiment with 24°C leading at 39% implied probability followed closely by 23°C (26.5%) and 25°C (23.5%). This reflects mesoscale model consensus amid a high-pressure ridge fostering above-normal spring warmth, building on recent highs near 25-26°C over May 13-14 that exceeded mid-May climatological average of 23.5°C. Urban heat island effects and minor cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, with official station observations resolving the market; expect refined guidance in tomorrow's update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$26,704结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast issued May 14 projects a 25°C maximum temperature for Tokyo on May 15 under partly sunny then cloudy conditions with just 10% precipitation chance, anchoring trader sentiment with 24°C leading at 39% implied probability followed closely by 23°C (26.5%) and 25°C (23.5%). This reflects mesoscale model consensus amid a high-pressure ridge fostering above-normal spring warmth, building on recent highs near 25-26°C over May 13-14 that exceeded mid-May climatological average of 23.5°C. Urban heat island effects and minor cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, with official station observations resolving the market; expect refined guidance in tomorrow's update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$26,704结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast issued May 14 projects a 25°C maximum temperature for Tokyo on May 15 under partly sunny then cloudy conditions with just 10% precipitation chance, anchoring trader sentiment with 24°C leading at 39% implied probability followed closely by 23°C (26.5%) and 25°C (23.5%). This reflects mesoscale model consensus amid a high-pressure ridge fostering above-normal spring warmth, building on recent highs near 25-26°C over May 13-14 that exceeded mid-May climatological average of 23.5°C. Urban heat island effects and minor cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, with official station observations resolving the market; expect refined guidance in tomorrow's update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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