Météo-France's latest guidance and ensemble model consensus project Paris's daytime high near 13°C today amid a cool northerly airflow fostering persistent low-level stratus clouds, scattered showers, and limited solar insolation at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the market's official station. Sluggish morning warming—starting around 8°C under overcast skies with thunderstorms—has driven trader consensus to 12°C at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting the past week's unstable pattern with highs of 16°C on May 12 and 14°C on May 13, well below mid-May climatological norms of 18–20°C. Brief afternoon cloud breaks could nudge readings to 13–14°C, but moisture-laden air caps potential; monitor hourly observational updates for late-day shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月14日巴黎气温最高？
5月14日巴黎气温最高？
12°C 65%
13°C 19%
11°C 17.9%
14°C 2.6%
$82,885 交易量
$82,885 交易量
2026-05-14
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
18%
12°C
65%
13°C
19%
14°C
3%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C或以上
<1%
12°C 65%
13°C 19%
11°C 17.9%
14°C 2.6%
$82,885 交易量
$82,885 交易量
2026-05-14
9°C
$4,877 交易量
<1%
10°C
$8,547 交易量
<1%
11°C
$8,453 交易量
18%
12°C
$7,262 交易量
65%
13°C
$7,295 交易量
19%
14°C
$8,492 交易量
3%
15°C
$4,678 交易量
<1%
16°C
$3,254 交易量
1%
17°C或以上
$2,809 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's latest guidance and ensemble model consensus project Paris's daytime high near 13°C today amid a cool northerly airflow fostering persistent low-level stratus clouds, scattered showers, and limited solar insolation at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the market's official station. Sluggish morning warming—starting around 8°C under overcast skies with thunderstorms—has driven trader consensus to 12°C at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting the past week's unstable pattern with highs of 16°C on May 12 and 14°C on May 13, well below mid-May climatological norms of 18–20°C. Brief afternoon cloud breaks could nudge readings to 13–14°C, but moisture-laden air caps potential; monitor hourly observational updates for late-day shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$82,885结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's latest guidance and ensemble model consensus project Paris's daytime high near 13°C today amid a cool northerly airflow fostering persistent low-level stratus clouds, scattered showers, and limited solar insolation at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the market's official station. Sluggish morning warming—starting around 8°C under overcast skies with thunderstorms—has driven trader consensus to 12°C at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting the past week's unstable pattern with highs of 16°C on May 12 and 14°C on May 13, well below mid-May climatological norms of 18–20°C. Brief afternoon cloud breaks could nudge readings to 13–14°C, but moisture-laden air caps potential; monitor hourly observational updates for late-day shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$82,885结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETMétéo-France's latest guidance and ensemble model consensus project Paris's daytime high near 13°C today amid a cool northerly airflow fostering persistent low-level stratus clouds, scattered showers, and limited solar insolation at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the market's official station. Sluggish morning warming—starting around 8°C under overcast skies with thunderstorms—has driven trader consensus to 12°C at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting the past week's unstable pattern with highs of 16°C on May 12 and 14°C on May 13, well below mid-May climatological norms of 18–20°C. Brief afternoon cloud breaks could nudge readings to 13–14°C, but moisture-laden air caps potential; monitor hourly observational updates for late-day shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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