Official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Busan and Gimhae stations confirm a midday peak of 26°C on May 14, fueled by high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and peak solar insolation following morning lows near 15°C. This steady diurnal warming under a persistent upper-level ridge—deviating above May's climatological average of 22–24°C—has locked in trader consensus, with hourly data showing temperatures now stabilizing or cooling into evening. Model consensus from KMA short-range forecasts underestimated the warmth due to unanticipated low cloud cover, but current soundings indicate no further intensification. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous sea-breeze reversal driving late-afternoon heating, though upper-air patterns make this improbable; final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Busan on May 14?
26°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$52,671 交易量
$52,671 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$52,671 交易量
$52,671 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Busan and Gimhae stations confirm a midday peak of 26°C on May 14, fueled by high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and peak solar insolation following morning lows near 15°C. This steady diurnal warming under a persistent upper-level ridge—deviating above May's climatological average of 22–24°C—has locked in trader consensus, with hourly data showing temperatures now stabilizing or cooling into evening. Model consensus from KMA short-range forecasts underestimated the warmth due to unanticipated low cloud cover, but current soundings indicate no further intensification. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous sea-breeze reversal driving late-afternoon heating, though upper-air patterns make this improbable; final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题