Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, which converge on a Moscow high temperature of 20-21°C on May 16 amid a typical 1-2°C spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary layer mixing under partly cloudy skies. This tight race between 21°C (33%) and 20°C (29.5%) stems from recent warming after rainy, cooler days earlier in the week (13-15°C highs on May 11-12), with a building high-pressure ridge promoting southerly flow and reduced precipitation risk (under 5%). Timeanddate.com's May 15 update lists 21°C max with 10 km/h winds, aligning with climatological May norms around 18-19°C but elevated by current synoptic patterns. Watch 12z model runs for potential refinements before evening peak heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
21°C 36%
20°C 29%
22°C 16.4%
19°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-05-16
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
12%
20°C
29%
21°C
36%
22°C
16%
23°C or higher
9%
21°C 36%
20°C 29%
22°C 16.4%
19°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-05-16
13°C or below
$1,312 交易量
<1%
14°C
$422 交易量
<1%
15°C
$316 交易量
<1%
16°C
$803 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,201 交易量
1%
18°C
$1,281 交易量
5%
19°C
$457 交易量
12%
20°C
$101 交易量
29%
21°C
$259 交易量
36%
22°C
$164 交易量
16%
23°C or higher
$1,440 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, which converge on a Moscow high temperature of 20-21°C on May 16 amid a typical 1-2°C spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary layer mixing under partly cloudy skies. This tight race between 21°C (33%) and 20°C (29.5%) stems from recent warming after rainy, cooler days earlier in the week (13-15°C highs on May 11-12), with a building high-pressure ridge promoting southerly flow and reduced precipitation risk (under 5%). Timeanddate.com's May 15 update lists 21°C max with 10 km/h winds, aligning with climatological May norms around 18-19°C but elevated by current synoptic patterns. Watch 12z model runs for potential refinements before evening peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
交易量
$7,707结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, which converge on a Moscow high temperature of 20-21°C on May 16 amid a typical 1-2°C spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary layer mixing under partly cloudy skies. This tight race between 21°C (33%) and 20°C (29.5%) stems from recent warming after rainy, cooler days earlier in the week (13-15°C highs on May 11-12), with a building high-pressure ridge promoting southerly flow and reduced precipitation risk (under 5%). Timeanddate.com's May 15 update lists 21°C max with 10 km/h winds, aligning with climatological May norms around 18-19°C but elevated by current synoptic patterns. Watch 12z model runs for potential refinements before evening peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,707结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, which converge on a Moscow high temperature of 20-21°C on May 16 amid a typical 1-2°C spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary layer mixing under partly cloudy skies. This tight race between 21°C (33%) and 20°C (29.5%) stems from recent warming after rainy, cooler days earlier in the week (13-15°C highs on May 11-12), with a building high-pressure ridge promoting southerly flow and reduced precipitation risk (under 5%). Timeanddate.com's May 15 update lists 21°C max with 10 km/h winds, aligning with climatological May norms around 18-19°C but elevated by current synoptic patterns. Watch 12z model runs for potential refinements before evening peak heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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