Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 24°C (24.5%), 25°C (32.5%), and 26°C (23.0%) for Shanghai's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting model spread amid persistent cloudiness. The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast calls for overcast skies with southeasterly winds under 12 km/h, projecting a high near 27-28°C, while The Weather Network anticipates 27°C with partial clearing and 30% precipitation odds. Recent developments—a cool spell through May 13-14 with highs capped at 23-25°C by frontal overcast—favor downside risk, as low-level moisture and sea breeze effects could suppress peaks below 26°C. Climatologically, mid-May highs average 25°C with 2-3°C variability from cloud forcing; final hourly data from official stations like Xujiahui will resolve amid this uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 15?
25°C 33%
24°C 25%
26°C 21%
23°C 13%
最新
$22,812 交易量
最新
$22,812 交易量
2026-05-15
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
13%
24°C
25%
25°C
33%
26°C
21%
27°C
9%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 33%
24°C 25%
26°C 21%
23°C 13%
最新
$22,812 交易量
最新
$22,812 交易量
2026-05-15
20°C or below
$3,617 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,929 交易量
<1%
22°C
$2,886 交易量
1%
23°C
$1,892 交易量
13%
24°C
$1,337 交易量
25%
25°C
$1,452 交易量
33%
26°C
$1,366 交易量
21%
27°C
$1,956 交易量
9%
28°C
$3,129 交易量
4%
29°C
$1,279 交易量
1%
30°C or higher
$1,027 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 24°C (24.5%), 25°C (32.5%), and 26°C (23.0%) for Shanghai's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting model spread amid persistent cloudiness. The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast calls for overcast skies with southeasterly winds under 12 km/h, projecting a high near 27-28°C, while The Weather Network anticipates 27°C with partial clearing and 30% precipitation odds. Recent developments—a cool spell through May 13-14 with highs capped at 23-25°C by frontal overcast—favor downside risk, as low-level moisture and sea breeze effects could suppress peaks below 26°C. Climatologically, mid-May highs average 25°C with 2-3°C variability from cloud forcing; final hourly data from official stations like Xujiahui will resolve amid this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$22,812结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 24°C (24.5%), 25°C (32.5%), and 26°C (23.0%) for Shanghai's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting model spread amid persistent cloudiness. The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast calls for overcast skies with southeasterly winds under 12 km/h, projecting a high near 27-28°C, while The Weather Network anticipates 27°C with partial clearing and 30% precipitation odds. Recent developments—a cool spell through May 13-14 with highs capped at 23-25°C by frontal overcast—favor downside risk, as low-level moisture and sea breeze effects could suppress peaks below 26°C. Climatologically, mid-May highs average 25°C with 2-3°C variability from cloud forcing; final hourly data from official stations like Xujiahui will resolve amid this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$22,812结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 24°C (24.5%), 25°C (32.5%), and 26°C (23.0%) for Shanghai's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting model spread amid persistent cloudiness. The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast calls for overcast skies with southeasterly winds under 12 km/h, projecting a high near 27-28°C, while The Weather Network anticipates 27°C with partial clearing and 30% precipitation odds. Recent developments—a cool spell through May 13-14 with highs capped at 23-25°C by frontal overcast—favor downside risk, as low-level moisture and sea breeze effects could suppress peaks below 26°C. Climatologically, mid-May highs average 25°C with 2-3°C variability from cloud forcing; final hourly data from official stations like Xujiahui will resolve amid this uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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