Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 27°C (31% implied probability) for Chengdu on May 14, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com projecting daytime highs around 27–28°C amid overcast conditions that limit solar insolation. Recent days featured warmer peaks near 29°C, including May 13's mostly cloudy 29°C, but an incoming low-pressure system introduces cloud cover and higher humidity, capping potential intensification. Key variables include cloud persistence—thicker overcast could drop to 26°C or below, while brief clearing might push toward 28–29°C—and official measurements at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport per China Meteorological Administration data. Resolution hinges on peak hourly readings tomorrow, with model ensembles showing divergence typical of spring frontal variability in the Sichuan Basin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 14?
27°C 27%
26°C 21%
28°C 18%
29°C 14%
最新
$20,824 交易量
最新
$20,824 交易量
2026-05-14
23°C or below
8%
24°C
6%
25°C
9%
26°C
21%
27°C
27%
28°C
18%
29°C
14%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 27%
26°C 21%
28°C 18%
29°C 14%
最新
$20,824 交易量
最新
$20,824 交易量
2026-05-14
23°C or below
$4,224 交易量
8%
24°C
$1,529 交易量
6%
25°C
$1,108 交易量
9%
26°C
$820 交易量
21%
27°C
$577 交易量
27%
28°C
$1,834 交易量
18%
29°C
$2,820 交易量
14%
30°C
$2,364 交易量
6%
31°C
$2,365 交易量
1%
32°C
$1,147 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$2,194 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 27°C (31% implied probability) for Chengdu on May 14, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com projecting daytime highs around 27–28°C amid overcast conditions that limit solar insolation. Recent days featured warmer peaks near 29°C, including May 13's mostly cloudy 29°C, but an incoming low-pressure system introduces cloud cover and higher humidity, capping potential intensification. Key variables include cloud persistence—thicker overcast could drop to 26°C or below, while brief clearing might push toward 28–29°C—and official measurements at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport per China Meteorological Administration data. Resolution hinges on peak hourly readings tomorrow, with model ensembles showing divergence typical of spring frontal variability in the Sichuan Basin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
交易量
$20,824结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 27°C (31% implied probability) for Chengdu on May 14, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com projecting daytime highs around 27–28°C amid overcast conditions that limit solar insolation. Recent days featured warmer peaks near 29°C, including May 13's mostly cloudy 29°C, but an incoming low-pressure system introduces cloud cover and higher humidity, capping potential intensification. Key variables include cloud persistence—thicker overcast could drop to 26°C or below, while brief clearing might push toward 28–29°C—and official measurements at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport per China Meteorological Administration data. Resolution hinges on peak hourly readings tomorrow, with model ensembles showing divergence typical of spring frontal variability in the Sichuan Basin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$20,824结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 27°C (31% implied probability) for Chengdu on May 14, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com projecting daytime highs around 27–28°C amid overcast conditions that limit solar insolation. Recent days featured warmer peaks near 29°C, including May 13's mostly cloudy 29°C, but an incoming low-pressure system introduces cloud cover and higher humidity, capping potential intensification. Key variables include cloud persistence—thicker overcast could drop to 26°C or below, while brief clearing might push toward 28–29°C—and official measurements at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport per China Meteorological Administration data. Resolution hinges on peak hourly readings tomorrow, with model ensembles showing divergence typical of spring frontal variability in the Sichuan Basin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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