Official meteorological observations from the Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 16°C on May 15, anchoring the market-implied odds at essentially 100% for this outcome. Under a ridging high-pressure system with light easterly flow and mostly clear skies, peak solar insolation produced afternoon boundary-layer heating that aligned precisely with the Finnish Meteorological Institute forecast consensus around 16.5°C, remaining near the May climatological average. Minor model variations in sea-breeze onset from the Gulf of Finland and residual moisture levels could have allowed a brief 17°C spike, yet hourly data through evening confirmed the threshold was not crossed. This tight alignment between real-time station measurements and ensemble guidance leaves little scope for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the official daily high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 15?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 15?
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$52,940 交易量
$52,940 交易量
2026-05-15
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$52,940 交易量
$52,940 交易量
2026-05-15
12°C or below
$3,072 交易量
No
13°C
$3,397 交易量
No
14°C
$5,640 交易量
No
15°C
$7,874 交易量
No
16°C
$8,162 交易量
Yes
17°C
$9,585 交易量
No
18°C
$4,412 交易量
No
19°C
$2,665 交易量
No
20°C
$2,710 交易量
No
21°C
$1,925 交易量
No
22°C or higher
$3,499 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 16°C on May 15, anchoring the market-implied odds at essentially 100% for this outcome. Under a ridging high-pressure system with light easterly flow and mostly clear skies, peak solar insolation produced afternoon boundary-layer heating that aligned precisely with the Finnish Meteorological Institute forecast consensus around 16.5°C, remaining near the May climatological average. Minor model variations in sea-breeze onset from the Gulf of Finland and residual moisture levels could have allowed a brief 17°C spike, yet hourly data through evening confirmed the threshold was not crossed. This tight alignment between real-time station measurements and ensemble guidance leaves little scope for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the official daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
交易量
$52,940结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 1:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 16°C on May 15, anchoring the market-implied odds at essentially 100% for this outcome. Under a ridging high-pressure system with light easterly flow and mostly clear skies, peak solar insolation produced afternoon boundary-layer heating that aligned precisely with the Finnish Meteorological Institute forecast consensus around 16.5°C, remaining near the May climatological average. Minor model variations in sea-breeze onset from the Gulf of Finland and residual moisture levels could have allowed a brief 17°C spike, yet hourly data through evening confirmed the threshold was not crossed. This tight alignment between real-time station measurements and ensemble guidance leaves little scope for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the official daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$52,940结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 1:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official meteorological observations from the Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 16°C on May 15, anchoring the market-implied odds at essentially 100% for this outcome. Under a ridging high-pressure system with light easterly flow and mostly clear skies, peak solar insolation produced afternoon boundary-layer heating that aligned precisely with the Finnish Meteorological Institute forecast consensus around 16.5°C, remaining near the May climatological average. Minor model variations in sea-breeze onset from the Gulf of Finland and residual moisture levels could have allowed a brief 17°C spike, yet hourly data through evening confirmed the threshold was not crossed. This tight alignment between real-time station measurements and ensemble guidance leaves little scope for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the official daily high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题