Traders have overwhelmingly backed a high temperature of 25°C for Tokyo on May 16, driven by stable atmospheric patterns and consistent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency. Current model runs show moderate southerly flow under clear skies, keeping daytime maxima aligned with seasonal norms near 23–25°C rather than triggering rapid warming. Official observations from central stations confirm no heat advection or urban heat-island amplification beyond expectations. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time data releases. A modest northward shift in the subtropical ridge or an unexpected clear-sky radiative boost could still push readings to 26°C, though the latest ensemble guidance assigns low probability to such outcomes before sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$114,110 交易量
$114,110 交易量
2026-05-16
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$114,110 交易量
$114,110 交易量
2026-05-16
25°C
$12,530 交易量
100%
26°C
$9,945 交易量
<1%
27°C
$12,404 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$19,272 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have overwhelmingly backed a high temperature of 25°C for Tokyo on May 16, driven by stable atmospheric patterns and consistent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency. Current model runs show moderate southerly flow under clear skies, keeping daytime maxima aligned with seasonal norms near 23–25°C rather than triggering rapid warming. Official observations from central stations confirm no heat advection or urban heat-island amplification beyond expectations. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time data releases. A modest northward shift in the subtropical ridge or an unexpected clear-sky radiative boost could still push readings to 26°C, though the latest ensemble guidance assigns low probability to such outcomes before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
交易量
$114,110结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have overwhelmingly backed a high temperature of 25°C for Tokyo on May 16, driven by stable atmospheric patterns and consistent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency. Current model runs show moderate southerly flow under clear skies, keeping daytime maxima aligned with seasonal norms near 23–25°C rather than triggering rapid warming. Official observations from central stations confirm no heat advection or urban heat-island amplification beyond expectations. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time data releases. A modest northward shift in the subtropical ridge or an unexpected clear-sky radiative boost could still push readings to 26°C, though the latest ensemble guidance assigns low probability to such outcomes before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$114,110结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETTraders have overwhelmingly backed a high temperature of 25°C for Tokyo on May 16, driven by stable atmospheric patterns and consistent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency. Current model runs show moderate southerly flow under clear skies, keeping daytime maxima aligned with seasonal norms near 23–25°C rather than triggering rapid warming. Official observations from central stations confirm no heat advection or urban heat-island amplification beyond expectations. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time data releases. A modest northward shift in the subtropical ridge or an unexpected clear-sky radiative boost could still push readings to 26°C, though the latest ensemble guidance assigns low probability to such outcomes before sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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