Recent forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate southerly flow and mostly clear conditions will push Tokyo's daytime high to 26–29 °C on May 18, placing 28 °C or higher as the market favorite at 61 %. This aligns with a broader May warming trend that has already produced several days above 25 °C in mid-month, roughly 2–3 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average for the date. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only a small chance of stronger onshore flow keeping readings at or below 26 °C. The next 48-hour model cycles and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture will be the key data releases that could shift the 27 °C and 26 °C contracts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日东京气温最高？
5月18日东京气温最高？
28°C or higher 56%
27°C 24%
26°C 14%
25°C 3.0%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
18°C or below
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
14%
27°C
24%
28°C or higher
56%
28°C or higher 56%
27°C 24%
26°C 14%
25°C 3.0%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
18°C or below
$963 交易量
1%
19°C
$993 交易量
<1%
20°C
$967 交易量
1%
21°C
$391 交易量
<1%
22°C
$275 交易量
<1%
23°C
$381 交易量
1%
24°C
$621 交易量
2%
25°C
$222 交易量
3%
26°C
$167 交易量
14%
27°C
$166 交易量
24%
28°C or higher
$171 交易量
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate southerly flow and mostly clear conditions will push Tokyo's daytime high to 26–29 °C on May 18, placing 28 °C or higher as the market favorite at 61 %. This aligns with a broader May warming trend that has already produced several days above 25 °C in mid-month, roughly 2–3 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average for the date. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only a small chance of stronger onshore flow keeping readings at or below 26 °C. The next 48-hour model cycles and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture will be the key data releases that could shift the 27 °C and 26 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$5,292结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate southerly flow and mostly clear conditions will push Tokyo's daytime high to 26–29 °C on May 18, placing 28 °C or higher as the market favorite at 61 %. This aligns with a broader May warming trend that has already produced several days above 25 °C in mid-month, roughly 2–3 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average for the date. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only a small chance of stronger onshore flow keeping readings at or below 26 °C. The next 48-hour model cycles and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture will be the key data releases that could shift the 27 °C and 26 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,292结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate southerly flow and mostly clear conditions will push Tokyo's daytime high to 26–29 °C on May 18, placing 28 °C or higher as the market favorite at 61 %. This aligns with a broader May warming trend that has already produced several days above 25 °C in mid-month, roughly 2–3 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average for the date. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only a small chance of stronger onshore flow keeping readings at or below 26 °C. The next 48-hour model cycles and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture will be the key data releases that could shift the 27 °C and 26 °C contracts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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