Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts currently position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi reference station, driven by a high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology, when daily highs typically range 22–24 °C early in the month and climb toward seasonal peaks later, yet remains sensitive to minor shifts in steering flow or cloud cover that could cap readings at 28 °C or push them to 30 °C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 29 °C (38 %) and 30 °C or higher (27.5 %), reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in the latest ensemble guidance and the market’s aggregation of real-capital assessments of these variables ahead of official verification tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日东京气温最高？
5月17日东京气温最高？
29°C 37%
28°C 27%
30°C or higher 26%
27°C 8%
最新
$17,779 交易量
最新
$17,779 交易量
2026-05-17
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
27%
29°C
37%
30°C or higher
26%
29°C 37%
28°C 27%
30°C or higher 26%
27°C 8%
最新
$17,779 交易量
最新
$17,779 交易量
2026-05-17
20°C or below
$2,080 交易量
<1%
21°C
$772 交易量
<1%
22°C
$814 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,432 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,745 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,516 交易量
1%
26°C
$2,241 交易量
2%
27°C
$1,400 交易量
8%
28°C
$1,194 交易量
27%
29°C
$834 交易量
37%
30°C or higher
$1,753 交易量
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts currently position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi reference station, driven by a high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology, when daily highs typically range 22–24 °C early in the month and climb toward seasonal peaks later, yet remains sensitive to minor shifts in steering flow or cloud cover that could cap readings at 28 °C or push them to 30 °C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 29 °C (38 %) and 30 °C or higher (27.5 %), reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in the latest ensemble guidance and the market’s aggregation of real-capital assessments of these variables ahead of official verification tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$17,779结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts currently position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi reference station, driven by a high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology, when daily highs typically range 22–24 °C early in the month and climb toward seasonal peaks later, yet remains sensitive to minor shifts in steering flow or cloud cover that could cap readings at 28 °C or push them to 30 °C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 29 °C (38 %) and 30 °C or higher (27.5 %), reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in the latest ensemble guidance and the market’s aggregation of real-capital assessments of these variables ahead of official verification tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$17,779结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency forecasts currently position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi reference station, driven by a high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology, when daily highs typically range 22–24 °C early in the month and climb toward seasonal peaks later, yet remains sensitive to minor shifts in steering flow or cloud cover that could cap readings at 28 °C or push them to 30 °C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 29 °C (38 %) and 30 °C or higher (27.5 %), reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in the latest ensemble guidance and the market’s aggregation of real-capital assessments of these variables ahead of official verification tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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