Current forecast models from major ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF project afternoon highs reaching 32–34°C in Panama City today, aligning with May climatology for the tropical lowland setting where average daily maxima hover near 34°C amid strong solar insolation and light winds. The Intertropical Convergence Zone typically brings scattered showers and high humidity near 80%, yet these often allow sufficient clearing for peak heating during midday. Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects this robust model agreement and historical precedent, with METAR observations from the local airport expected to confirm the outcome. Persistent cloud cover or heavier rainfall could cap temperatures below the threshold, though such scenarios remain unlikely based on current steering patterns and subsidence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Panama City on May 15?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 15?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$20,031 交易量
$20,031 交易量
2026-05-15
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$20,031 交易量
$20,031 交易量
2026-05-15
22°C or below
$1,019 交易量
No
23°C
$665 交易量
No
24°C
$972 交易量
No
25°C
$1,090 交易量
No
26°C
$698 交易量
No
27°C
$847 交易量
No
28°C
$1,978 交易量
No
29°C
$2,119 交易量
No
30°C
$3,108 交易量
No
31°C
$3,918 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$3,618 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from major ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF project afternoon highs reaching 32–34°C in Panama City today, aligning with May climatology for the tropical lowland setting where average daily maxima hover near 34°C amid strong solar insolation and light winds. The Intertropical Convergence Zone typically brings scattered showers and high humidity near 80%, yet these often allow sufficient clearing for peak heating during midday. Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects this robust model agreement and historical precedent, with METAR observations from the local airport expected to confirm the outcome. Persistent cloud cover or heavier rainfall could cap temperatures below the threshold, though such scenarios remain unlikely based on current steering patterns and subsidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
交易量
$20,031结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 1:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from major ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF project afternoon highs reaching 32–34°C in Panama City today, aligning with May climatology for the tropical lowland setting where average daily maxima hover near 34°C amid strong solar insolation and light winds. The Intertropical Convergence Zone typically brings scattered showers and high humidity near 80%, yet these often allow sufficient clearing for peak heating during midday. Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects this robust model agreement and historical precedent, with METAR observations from the local airport expected to confirm the outcome. Persistent cloud cover or heavier rainfall could cap temperatures below the threshold, though such scenarios remain unlikely based on current steering patterns and subsidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$20,031结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 1:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current forecast models from major ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF project afternoon highs reaching 32–34°C in Panama City today, aligning with May climatology for the tropical lowland setting where average daily maxima hover near 34°C amid strong solar insolation and light winds. The Intertropical Convergence Zone typically brings scattered showers and high humidity near 80%, yet these often allow sufficient clearing for peak heating during midday. Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects this robust model agreement and historical precedent, with METAR observations from the local airport expected to confirm the outcome. Persistent cloud cover or heavier rainfall could cap temperatures below the threshold, though such scenarios remain unlikely based on current steering patterns and subsidence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题