Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently point to an overnight minimum near 19 °C in Shanghai on May 17, reflecting the dominant subtropical ridge and steady maritime air mass from the East China Sea that has suppressed any stronger cooling. Mid-May climatology for the Yangtze River delta places typical lows between 17 °C and 20 °C, and the absence of frontal passages or enhanced radiative cooling in the latest runs keeps the 19 °C outcome at a 43 % market-implied probability, followed closely by 20 °C and 18 °C. Traders are watching the next ensemble updates for any shift in onshore flow or boundary-layer moisture that could alter the exact minimum recorded at the official Shanghai station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日上海最低气温？
5月17日上海最低气温？
19°C 52%
18°C 29%
20°C 25%
17°C 4.4%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
24%
19°C
54%
20°C
25%
21°C
4%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
19°C 52%
18°C 29%
20°C 25%
17°C 4.4%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
14°C或以下
$549 交易量
<1%
15°C
$397 交易量
<1%
16°C
$95 交易量
1%
17°C
$168 交易量
4%
18°C
$90 交易量
24%
19°C
$151 交易量
54%
20°C
$103 交易量
25%
21°C
$250 交易量
4%
22°C
$198 交易量
<1%
23°C
$504 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$718 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently point to an overnight minimum near 19 °C in Shanghai on May 17, reflecting the dominant subtropical ridge and steady maritime air mass from the East China Sea that has suppressed any stronger cooling. Mid-May climatology for the Yangtze River delta places typical lows between 17 °C and 20 °C, and the absence of frontal passages or enhanced radiative cooling in the latest runs keeps the 19 °C outcome at a 43 % market-implied probability, followed closely by 20 °C and 18 °C. Traders are watching the next ensemble updates for any shift in onshore flow or boundary-layer moisture that could alter the exact minimum recorded at the official Shanghai station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
交易量
$3,224结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently point to an overnight minimum near 19 °C in Shanghai on May 17, reflecting the dominant subtropical ridge and steady maritime air mass from the East China Sea that has suppressed any stronger cooling. Mid-May climatology for the Yangtze River delta places typical lows between 17 °C and 20 °C, and the absence of frontal passages or enhanced radiative cooling in the latest runs keeps the 19 °C outcome at a 43 % market-implied probability, followed closely by 20 °C and 18 °C. Traders are watching the next ensemble updates for any shift in onshore flow or boundary-layer moisture that could alter the exact minimum recorded at the official Shanghai station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,224结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETForecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently point to an overnight minimum near 19 °C in Shanghai on May 17, reflecting the dominant subtropical ridge and steady maritime air mass from the East China Sea that has suppressed any stronger cooling. Mid-May climatology for the Yangtze River delta places typical lows between 17 °C and 20 °C, and the absence of frontal passages or enhanced radiative cooling in the latest runs keeps the 19 °C outcome at a 43 % market-implied probability, followed closely by 20 °C and 18 °C. Traders are watching the next ensemble updates for any shift in onshore flow or boundary-layer moisture that could alter the exact minimum recorded at the official Shanghai station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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