Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 18 around 19–21°C at Pudong International Airport, fueling the tight trader consensus with 20°C leading at 28.5% implied probability amid 45–55% uncertainty. Mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover—prevalent in recent days—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect in Shanghai elevates minima above historical mid-May averages of 18°C. Differentiation hinges on cloudiness: clearer skies could enable cooling to 19°C, but rising humidity or breezes favor 21–22°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs tomorrow may refine this, as typical spring variability persists.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日上海最低气温？
5月18日上海最低气温？
20℃ 38%
18°C 31%
19°C 23%
22°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
18%
19°C
23%
20℃
29%
21°C
27%
22°C
19%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C或更高
1%
20℃ 38%
18°C 31%
19°C 23%
22°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
15°C或以下
$90 交易量
1%
16°C
$10 交易量
3%
17°C
$0 交易量
3%
18°C
$3 交易量
18%
19°C
$2 交易量
23%
20℃
$24 交易量
29%
21°C
$34 交易量
27%
22°C
$0 交易量
19%
23°C
$68 交易量
3%
24°C
$40 交易量
1%
25°C或更高
$51 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 18 around 19–21°C at Pudong International Airport, fueling the tight trader consensus with 20°C leading at 28.5% implied probability amid 45–55% uncertainty. Mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover—prevalent in recent days—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect in Shanghai elevates minima above historical mid-May averages of 18°C. Differentiation hinges on cloudiness: clearer skies could enable cooling to 19°C, but rising humidity or breezes favor 21–22°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs tomorrow may refine this, as typical spring variability persists.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$323结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 18 around 19–21°C at Pudong International Airport, fueling the tight trader consensus with 20°C leading at 28.5% implied probability amid 45–55% uncertainty. Mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover—prevalent in recent days—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect in Shanghai elevates minima above historical mid-May averages of 18°C. Differentiation hinges on cloudiness: clearer skies could enable cooling to 19°C, but rising humidity or breezes favor 21–22°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs tomorrow may refine this, as typical spring variability persists.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$323结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 18 around 19–21°C at Pudong International Airport, fueling the tight trader consensus with 20°C leading at 28.5% implied probability amid 45–55% uncertainty. Mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover—prevalent in recent days—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect in Shanghai elevates minima above historical mid-May averages of 18°C. Differentiation hinges on cloudiness: clearer skies could enable cooling to 19°C, but rising humidity or breezes favor 21–22°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs tomorrow may refine this, as typical spring variability persists.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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