Official meteorological observations from Météo-France recorded a daily maximum temperature of 13°C in Paris on May 15, locking in the market's overwhelming consensus. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover limited daytime heating across northern France, preventing any exceedance of that threshold. This outcome sits well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C, driven by a transient high-pressure system that favored stable rather than warming conditions. With the 24-hour observation window now closed and data verified, remaining uncertainty centers only on minor post-processing adjustments that rarely exceed 0.5°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月15日巴黎气温最高？
5月15日巴黎气温最高？
13°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$138,332 交易量
$138,332 交易量
2026-05-15
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或更高
否
13°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$138,332 交易量
$138,332 交易量
2026-05-15
9°C或以下
$4,628 交易量
否
10°C
$5,136 交易量
否
11°C
$13,509 交易量
否
12°C
$12,297 交易量
否
13°C
$32,441 交易量
是
14°C
$23,617 交易量
否
15°C
$20,096 交易量
否
16°C
$8,737 交易量
否
17°C
$4,011 交易量
否
18°C
$8,719 交易量
否
19°C或更高
$5,142 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Météo-France recorded a daily maximum temperature of 13°C in Paris on May 15, locking in the market's overwhelming consensus. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover limited daytime heating across northern France, preventing any exceedance of that threshold. This outcome sits well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C, driven by a transient high-pressure system that favored stable rather than warming conditions. With the 24-hour observation window now closed and data verified, remaining uncertainty centers only on minor post-processing adjustments that rarely exceed 0.5°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$138,332结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Météo-France recorded a daily maximum temperature of 13°C in Paris on May 15, locking in the market's overwhelming consensus. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover limited daytime heating across northern France, preventing any exceedance of that threshold. This outcome sits well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C, driven by a transient high-pressure system that favored stable rather than warming conditions. With the 24-hour observation window now closed and data verified, remaining uncertainty centers only on minor post-processing adjustments that rarely exceed 0.5°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$138,332结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official meteorological observations from Météo-France recorded a daily maximum temperature of 13°C in Paris on May 15, locking in the market's overwhelming consensus. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover limited daytime heating across northern France, preventing any exceedance of that threshold. This outcome sits well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C, driven by a transient high-pressure system that favored stable rather than warming conditions. With the 24-hour observation window now closed and data verified, remaining uncertainty centers only on minor post-processing adjustments that rarely exceed 0.5°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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