Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Madrid under stable high pressure today, limiting daytime heating and producing a projected maximum of 20 °C at the Madrid-Barajas reference station. Mid-May climatology supports this peak under clear skies and light winds, with model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and regional ensembles converging on the same value. The 100 % market-implied probability reflects this tight agreement and the low likelihood of measurement deviations at official sites. Only an unexpected late-afternoon convective cell or station-specific microclimate shift could push the recorded high outside the narrow band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$84,074 交易量
$84,074 交易量
2026-05-16
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$84,074 交易量
$84,074 交易量
2026-05-16
20°C
$10,668 交易量
100%
21°C
$11,837 交易量
<1%
22°C
$9,492 交易量
<1%
23°C
$6,884 交易量
<1%
24°C
$6,168 交易量
<1%
25°C or higher
$2,529 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Madrid under stable high pressure today, limiting daytime heating and producing a projected maximum of 20 °C at the Madrid-Barajas reference station. Mid-May climatology supports this peak under clear skies and light winds, with model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and regional ensembles converging on the same value. The 100 % market-implied probability reflects this tight agreement and the low likelihood of measurement deviations at official sites. Only an unexpected late-afternoon convective cell or station-specific microclimate shift could push the recorded high outside the narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$84,074结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Madrid under stable high pressure today, limiting daytime heating and producing a projected maximum of 20 °C at the Madrid-Barajas reference station. Mid-May climatology supports this peak under clear skies and light winds, with model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and regional ensembles converging on the same value. The 100 % market-implied probability reflects this tight agreement and the low likelihood of measurement deviations at official sites. Only an unexpected late-afternoon convective cell or station-specific microclimate shift could push the recorded high outside the narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$84,074结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETOfficial forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Madrid under stable high pressure today, limiting daytime heating and producing a projected maximum of 20 °C at the Madrid-Barajas reference station. Mid-May climatology supports this peak under clear skies and light winds, with model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and regional ensembles converging on the same value. The 100 % market-implied probability reflects this tight agreement and the low likelihood of measurement deviations at official sites. Only an unexpected late-afternoon convective cell or station-specific microclimate shift could push the recorded high outside the narrow band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题