Latest forecasts from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency indicate a daily high temperature in Madrid near 22°C under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light northerly winds that moderate daytime heating. This positions 22°C as the leading outcome at 42 percent market-implied probability, followed closely by 23°C at 26 percent and 21°C at 23.5 percent. Mid-May climatological averages for the region hover around 22–24°C based on long-term observations, and recent ensemble model runs from ECMWF show little deviation from these projections, with any upward revision dependent on afternoon convective development or shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日马德里气温最高？
5月17日马德里气温最高？
22°C 48%
23°C 24%
21°C 21%
24°C 10%
最新
$11,985 交易量
最新
$11,985 交易量
2026-05-17
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
21%
22°C
48%
23°C
24%
24°C
10%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 48%
23°C 24%
21°C 21%
24°C 10%
最新
$11,985 交易量
最新
$11,985 交易量
2026-05-17
17°C or below
$1,678 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,066 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,145 交易量
1%
20°C
$873 交易量
5%
21°C
$1,959 交易量
21%
22°C
$1,654 交易量
48%
23°C
$1,167 交易量
24%
24°C
$587 交易量
10%
25°C
$491 交易量
1%
26°C
$504 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$914 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency indicate a daily high temperature in Madrid near 22°C under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light northerly winds that moderate daytime heating. This positions 22°C as the leading outcome at 42 percent market-implied probability, followed closely by 23°C at 26 percent and 21°C at 23.5 percent. Mid-May climatological averages for the region hover around 22–24°C based on long-term observations, and recent ensemble model runs from ECMWF show little deviation from these projections, with any upward revision dependent on afternoon convective development or shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$11,985结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency indicate a daily high temperature in Madrid near 22°C under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light northerly winds that moderate daytime heating. This positions 22°C as the leading outcome at 42 percent market-implied probability, followed closely by 23°C at 26 percent and 21°C at 23.5 percent. Mid-May climatological averages for the region hover around 22–24°C based on long-term observations, and recent ensemble model runs from ECMWF show little deviation from these projections, with any upward revision dependent on afternoon convective development or shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$11,985结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest forecasts from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency indicate a daily high temperature in Madrid near 22°C under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light northerly winds that moderate daytime heating. This positions 22°C as the leading outcome at 42 percent market-implied probability, followed closely by 23°C at 26 percent and 21°C at 23.5 percent. Mid-May climatological averages for the region hover around 22–24°C based on long-term observations, and recent ensemble model runs from ECMWF show little deviation from these projections, with any upward revision dependent on afternoon convective development or shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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