Recent ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show Madrid's May 18 maximum most likely between 23°C and 25°C under a weak high-pressure ridge promoting moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover. This range matches mid-May climatology, with typical maxima near 23°C amid transitional spring flow from the Atlantic that keeps extremes rare. Minor spreads arise from uncertainties in afternoon convective development and 850 hPa temperatures, creating the tight clustering around 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Updated guidance and verification data expected within 24 hours will clarify whether subtle steering changes push the peak higher or suppress it below 23°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日马德里气温最高？
5月18日马德里气温最高？
24°C 36%
23°C 28%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
28%
24°C
36%
25°C
18%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 36%
23°C 28%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
18°C or below
$240 交易量
<1%
19°C
$104 交易量
<1%
20°C
$676 交易量
1%
21°C
$79 交易量
4%
22°C
$120 交易量
10%
23°C
$304 交易量
28%
24°C
$76 交易量
36%
25°C
$358 交易量
18%
26°C
$87 交易量
6%
27°C
$63 交易量
2%
28°C or higher
$203 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show Madrid's May 18 maximum most likely between 23°C and 25°C under a weak high-pressure ridge promoting moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover. This range matches mid-May climatology, with typical maxima near 23°C amid transitional spring flow from the Atlantic that keeps extremes rare. Minor spreads arise from uncertainties in afternoon convective development and 850 hPa temperatures, creating the tight clustering around 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Updated guidance and verification data expected within 24 hours will clarify whether subtle steering changes push the peak higher or suppress it below 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,309结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show Madrid's May 18 maximum most likely between 23°C and 25°C under a weak high-pressure ridge promoting moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover. This range matches mid-May climatology, with typical maxima near 23°C amid transitional spring flow from the Atlantic that keeps extremes rare. Minor spreads arise from uncertainties in afternoon convective development and 850 hPa temperatures, creating the tight clustering around 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Updated guidance and verification data expected within 24 hours will clarify whether subtle steering changes push the peak higher or suppress it below 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,309结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show Madrid's May 18 maximum most likely between 23°C and 25°C under a weak high-pressure ridge promoting moderate surface heating and limited cloud cover. This range matches mid-May climatology, with typical maxima near 23°C amid transitional spring flow from the Atlantic that keeps extremes rare. Minor spreads arise from uncertainties in afternoon convective development and 850 hPa temperatures, creating the tight clustering around 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Updated guidance and verification data expected within 24 hours will clarify whether subtle steering changes push the peak higher or suppress it below 23°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题