Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model forecasts from GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 70°F for Chicago on May 15, driving trader consensus toward the 70-71°F (14.5%) and 68-69°F (13%) outcomes amid a rebound from cooler highs in the upper 50s to low 60s this week. The slight edge to 74°F or higher (29.5%) and 72-73°F (22%) reflects potential for enhanced daytime heating under a strengthening upper-level ridge and light southerly winds promoting better boundary-layer mixing, though morning showers pose a key uncertainty that could cap temperatures via increased cloud cover. Historical May 15 normals sit at 70.2°F per NOAA data, with resolution at O'Hare Airport; watch afternoon NWS updates for refined model runs clarifying peak heating timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on May 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 15?
74°F or higher 51%
72-73°F 25%
70-71°F 18%
68-69°F 8%
最新
$14,131 交易量
最新
$14,131 交易量
2026-05-15
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
25%
74°F or higher
51%
74°F or higher 51%
72-73°F 25%
70-71°F 18%
68-69°F 8%
最新
$14,131 交易量
最新
$14,131 交易量
2026-05-15
55°F or below
$2,649 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$737 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$1,068 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$1,861 交易量
1%
62-63°F
$1,675 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$1,505 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$1,573 交易量
2%
68-69°F
$532 交易量
8%
70-71°F
$467 交易量
18%
72-73°F
$673 交易量
25%
74°F or higher
$1,390 交易量
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model forecasts from GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 70°F for Chicago on May 15, driving trader consensus toward the 70-71°F (14.5%) and 68-69°F (13%) outcomes amid a rebound from cooler highs in the upper 50s to low 60s this week. The slight edge to 74°F or higher (29.5%) and 72-73°F (22%) reflects potential for enhanced daytime heating under a strengthening upper-level ridge and light southerly winds promoting better boundary-layer mixing, though morning showers pose a key uncertainty that could cap temperatures via increased cloud cover. Historical May 15 normals sit at 70.2°F per NOAA data, with resolution at O'Hare Airport; watch afternoon NWS updates for refined model runs clarifying peak heating timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$14,131结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model forecasts from GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 70°F for Chicago on May 15, driving trader consensus toward the 70-71°F (14.5%) and 68-69°F (13%) outcomes amid a rebound from cooler highs in the upper 50s to low 60s this week. The slight edge to 74°F or higher (29.5%) and 72-73°F (22%) reflects potential for enhanced daytime heating under a strengthening upper-level ridge and light southerly winds promoting better boundary-layer mixing, though morning showers pose a key uncertainty that could cap temperatures via increased cloud cover. Historical May 15 normals sit at 70.2°F per NOAA data, with resolution at O'Hare Airport; watch afternoon NWS updates for refined model runs clarifying peak heating timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$14,131结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest National Weather Service and ensemble model forecasts from GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 70°F for Chicago on May 15, driving trader consensus toward the 70-71°F (14.5%) and 68-69°F (13%) outcomes amid a rebound from cooler highs in the upper 50s to low 60s this week. The slight edge to 74°F or higher (29.5%) and 72-73°F (22%) reflects potential for enhanced daytime heating under a strengthening upper-level ridge and light southerly winds promoting better boundary-layer mixing, though morning showers pose a key uncertainty that could cap temperatures via increased cloud cover. Historical May 15 normals sit at 70.2°F per NOAA data, with resolution at O'Hare Airport; watch afternoon NWS updates for refined model runs clarifying peak heating timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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