Official Met Office observations confirm the highest temperature in London on May 13 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as aggregated sentiment backed by real capital. This positioning stems from precise, synchronized air temperature measurements—taken via standardized, calibrated thermometers at 1.25–2 meters above ground—at key sites including Heathrow Airport and St James's Park, adhering to World Meteorological Organization protocols. Amid below-average conditions for mid-May (historical highs around 16–18°C), no station exceeded this mark during the 24-hour period. Realistic challenges are minimal but could involve post hoc quality control revisions uncovering sensor discrepancies or debates over the defining London reference site, though such shifts are rare after initial daily summaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on May 13?
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$245,134 交易量
$245,134 交易量
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
否
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$245,134 交易量
$245,134 交易量
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
否
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official Met Office observations confirm the highest temperature in London on May 13 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as aggregated sentiment backed by real capital. This positioning stems from precise, synchronized air temperature measurements—taken via standardized, calibrated thermometers at 1.25–2 meters above ground—at key sites including Heathrow Airport and St James's Park, adhering to World Meteorological Organization protocols. Amid below-average conditions for mid-May (historical highs around 16–18°C), no station exceeded this mark during the 24-hour period. Realistic challenges are minimal but could involve post hoc quality control revisions uncovering sensor discrepancies or debates over the defining London reference site, though such shifts are rare after initial daily summaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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