Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Tel Aviv on May 13, aligned with the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecast of 14–26°C under partly cloudy skies following a multi-day heat wave, as seasonal norms reassert amid a significant temperature drop. NOAA global hourly observations at the official Tel Aviv station—Polymarket's resolution source—support this positioning, with morning readings building toward a midday peak near 27°C per model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 28°C or stronger sea breezes capping it at 26°C, though current atmospheric conditions favor the trader-backed outcome ahead of afternoon updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 13?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 13?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$82,204 交易量
$82,204 交易量
2026-05-13
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$82,204 交易量
$82,204 交易量
2026-05-13
20°C or below
$2,122 交易量
No
21°C
$1,814 交易量
No
22°C
$2,465 交易量
No
23°C
$2,423 交易量
No
24°C
$4,898 交易量
No
25°C
$7,402 交易量
No
26°C
$11,939 交易量
No
27°C
$11,766 交易量
Yes
28°C
$18,491 交易量
No
29°C
$11,131 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$7,756 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Tel Aviv on May 13, aligned with the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecast of 14–26°C under partly cloudy skies following a multi-day heat wave, as seasonal norms reassert amid a significant temperature drop. NOAA global hourly observations at the official Tel Aviv station—Polymarket's resolution source—support this positioning, with morning readings building toward a midday peak near 27°C per model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 28°C or stronger sea breezes capping it at 26°C, though current atmospheric conditions favor the trader-backed outcome ahead of afternoon updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 1:20 AM ET
交易量
$82,204结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 1:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Tel Aviv on May 13, aligned with the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecast of 14–26°C under partly cloudy skies following a multi-day heat wave, as seasonal norms reassert amid a significant temperature drop. NOAA global hourly observations at the official Tel Aviv station—Polymarket's resolution source—support this positioning, with morning readings building toward a midday peak near 27°C per model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 28°C or stronger sea breezes capping it at 26°C, though current atmospheric conditions favor the trader-backed outcome ahead of afternoon updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$82,204结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 1:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Tel Aviv on May 13, aligned with the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecast of 14–26°C under partly cloudy skies following a multi-day heat wave, as seasonal norms reassert amid a significant temperature drop. NOAA global hourly observations at the official Tel Aviv station—Polymarket's resolution source—support this positioning, with morning readings building toward a midday peak near 27°C per model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 28°C or stronger sea breezes capping it at 26°C, though current atmospheric conditions favor the trader-backed outcome ahead of afternoon updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题