Current atmospheric conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, including persistent high pressure and subsidence, are driving strong daytime surface heating in Tel Aviv for May 17, with clear skies and minimal cloud cover expected to maximize solar radiation. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs, aligned with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, points to afternoon peaks near or above 35 °C, building on a mid-May heatwave where readings already exceeded seasonal norms of 26–28 °C. Weak sea-breeze moderation due to aligned wind patterns further supports rapid warming, though any late-day marine influence or slight forecast shift could cap the high near 34 °C. Traders have priced 35 °C or higher at 78.5 % implied probability, reflecting this setup ahead of tomorrow’s peak observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日特拉维夫最高气温？
5月17日特拉维夫最高气温？
35°C or higher 81%
34°C 18%
33°C 2.1%
32°C <1%
最新
$10,560 交易量
最新
$10,560 交易量
2026-05-17
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
18%
35°C or higher
81%
35°C or higher 81%
34°C 18%
33°C 2.1%
32°C <1%
最新
$10,560 交易量
最新
$10,560 交易量
2026-05-17
25°C or below
$2,054 交易量
<1%
26°C
$677 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,047 交易量
1%
28°C
$1,018 交易量
<1%
29°C
$823 交易量
1%
30°C
$571 交易量
<1%
31°C
$444 交易量
<1%
32°C
$954 交易量
1%
33°C
$878 交易量
2%
34°C
$599 交易量
18%
35°C or higher
$1,609 交易量
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current atmospheric conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, including persistent high pressure and subsidence, are driving strong daytime surface heating in Tel Aviv for May 17, with clear skies and minimal cloud cover expected to maximize solar radiation. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs, aligned with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, points to afternoon peaks near or above 35 °C, building on a mid-May heatwave where readings already exceeded seasonal norms of 26–28 °C. Weak sea-breeze moderation due to aligned wind patterns further supports rapid warming, though any late-day marine influence or slight forecast shift could cap the high near 34 °C. Traders have priced 35 °C or higher at 78.5 % implied probability, reflecting this setup ahead of tomorrow’s peak observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$10,560结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current atmospheric conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, including persistent high pressure and subsidence, are driving strong daytime surface heating in Tel Aviv for May 17, with clear skies and minimal cloud cover expected to maximize solar radiation. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs, aligned with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, points to afternoon peaks near or above 35 °C, building on a mid-May heatwave where readings already exceeded seasonal norms of 26–28 °C. Weak sea-breeze moderation due to aligned wind patterns further supports rapid warming, though any late-day marine influence or slight forecast shift could cap the high near 34 °C. Traders have priced 35 °C or higher at 78.5 % implied probability, reflecting this setup ahead of tomorrow’s peak observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$10,560结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent atmospheric conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, including persistent high pressure and subsidence, are driving strong daytime surface heating in Tel Aviv for May 17, with clear skies and minimal cloud cover expected to maximize solar radiation. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs, aligned with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, points to afternoon peaks near or above 35 °C, building on a mid-May heatwave where readings already exceeded seasonal norms of 26–28 °C. Weak sea-breeze moderation due to aligned wind patterns further supports rapid warming, though any late-day marine influence or slight forecast shift could cap the high near 34 °C. Traders have priced 35 °C or higher at 78.5 % implied probability, reflecting this setup ahead of tomorrow’s peak observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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