Latest forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a high-pressure ridge building over northern Taiwan, favoring afternoon peaks near 29–30°C in Taipei on May 18 amid light easterly winds and modest humidity. Ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF models diverge on boundary-layer moisture and convective timing, creating tight market clustering around 30–32°C outcomes. Historical mid-May climatology shows daily maxima averaging 28–31°C, with sea-breeze suppression or brief cloud bursts able to shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these near-term model updates against the risk of faster warming if skies clear earlier than projected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日台北气温最高？
5月18日台北气温最高？
31°C 24%
30°C 19%
32°C 17%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
14%
30°C
19%
31°C
24%
32°C
17%
33°C
10%
34°C or higher
9%
31°C 24%
30°C 19%
32°C 17%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
24°C or below
$864 交易量
<1%
25°C
$481 交易量
<1%
26°C
$140 交易量
1%
27°C
$264 交易量
2%
28°C
$48 交易量
7%
29°C
$48 交易量
14%
30°C
$5 交易量
19%
31°C
$25 交易量
24%
32°C
$38 交易量
17%
33°C
$12 交易量
10%
34°C or higher
$63 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a high-pressure ridge building over northern Taiwan, favoring afternoon peaks near 29–30°C in Taipei on May 18 amid light easterly winds and modest humidity. Ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF models diverge on boundary-layer moisture and convective timing, creating tight market clustering around 30–32°C outcomes. Historical mid-May climatology shows daily maxima averaging 28–31°C, with sea-breeze suppression or brief cloud bursts able to shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these near-term model updates against the risk of faster warming if skies clear earlier than projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$1,988结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a high-pressure ridge building over northern Taiwan, favoring afternoon peaks near 29–30°C in Taipei on May 18 amid light easterly winds and modest humidity. Ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF models diverge on boundary-layer moisture and convective timing, creating tight market clustering around 30–32°C outcomes. Historical mid-May climatology shows daily maxima averaging 28–31°C, with sea-breeze suppression or brief cloud bursts able to shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these near-term model updates against the risk of faster warming if skies clear earlier than projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,988结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a high-pressure ridge building over northern Taiwan, favoring afternoon peaks near 29–30°C in Taipei on May 18 amid light easterly winds and modest humidity. Ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF models diverge on boundary-layer moisture and convective timing, creating tight market clustering around 30–32°C outcomes. Historical mid-May climatology shows daily maxima averaging 28–31°C, with sea-breeze suppression or brief cloud bursts able to shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these near-term model updates against the risk of faster warming if skies clear earlier than projected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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