Official observations from the National Weather Service at Miami International Airport confirmed a daily high of 92–93°F on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that range. This reading aligns with mid-May climatology for South Florida, where seasonal averages hover near 85–88°F yet can spike under clear skies, light winds, and subsiding high pressure that suppresses afternoon convection. Model guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction had consistently projected peak values in the low 90s, with minimal spread across ensemble members. Only an unexpected post-event revision to the official KMIA station record—highly improbable given redundant quality-control protocols—could shift resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月15日迈阿密气温最高？
5月15日迈阿密气温最高？
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$84,190 交易量
$84,190 交易量
2026-05-15
81°F或以下
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
是
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100华氏度或以上
否
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$84,190 交易量
$84,190 交易量
2026-05-15
81°F或以下
$3,063 交易量
否
82-83°F
$2,203 交易量
否
84-85°F
$3,320 交易量
否
86-87°F
$10,756 交易量
否
88-89°F
$9,387 交易量
否
90-91°F
$14,772 交易量
否
92-93°F
$16,003 交易量
是
94-95°F
$12,597 交易量
否
96-97°F
$8,141 交易量
否
98-99°F
$1,134 交易量
否
100华氏度或以上
$2,813 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Miami International Airport confirmed a daily high of 92–93°F on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that range. This reading aligns with mid-May climatology for South Florida, where seasonal averages hover near 85–88°F yet can spike under clear skies, light winds, and subsiding high pressure that suppresses afternoon convection. Model guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction had consistently projected peak values in the low 90s, with minimal spread across ensemble members. Only an unexpected post-event revision to the official KMIA station record—highly improbable given redundant quality-control protocols—could shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$84,190结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Miami International Airport confirmed a daily high of 92–93°F on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that range. This reading aligns with mid-May climatology for South Florida, where seasonal averages hover near 85–88°F yet can spike under clear skies, light winds, and subsiding high pressure that suppresses afternoon convection. Model guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction had consistently projected peak values in the low 90s, with minimal spread across ensemble members. Only an unexpected post-event revision to the official KMIA station record—highly improbable given redundant quality-control protocols—could shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$84,190结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Miami International Airport confirmed a daily high of 92–93°F on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that range. This reading aligns with mid-May climatology for South Florida, where seasonal averages hover near 85–88°F yet can spike under clear skies, light winds, and subsiding high pressure that suppresses afternoon convection. Model guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction had consistently projected peak values in the low 90s, with minimal spread across ensemble members. Only an unexpected post-event revision to the official KMIA station record—highly improbable given redundant quality-control protocols—could shift resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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