Hong Kong Observatory observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 13, 2026, reached 34.6°C at Sheung Shui station, with other sites like Tai Lung and Ta Kwu Ling exceeding 33°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 31°C or higher. Sunny skies, low humidity, and a ridge of high pressure fostered intense afternoon heating typical of May's transition to summer, aligning with seasonal forecasts for above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends in the region. While official measurements from multiple verified stations provide robust evidence, rare scenarios like data revisions from equipment recalibration or post-audit discrepancies could theoretically challenge this positioning, though such events are exceedingly uncommon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 13?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$356,979 交易量
$356,979 交易量
2026-05-13
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$356,979 交易量
$356,979 交易量
2026-05-13
21°C or below
$5,877 交易量
No
22°C
$4,237 交易量
No
23°C
$4,501 交易量
No
24°C
$4,080 交易量
No
25°C
$7,672 交易量
No
26°C
$8,916 交易量
No
27°C
$19,933 交易量
No
28°C
$47,721 交易量
No
29°C
$54,666 交易量
No
30°C
$93,621 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$105,755 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 13, 2026, reached 34.6°C at Sheung Shui station, with other sites like Tai Lung and Ta Kwu Ling exceeding 33°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 31°C or higher. Sunny skies, low humidity, and a ridge of high pressure fostered intense afternoon heating typical of May's transition to summer, aligning with seasonal forecasts for above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends in the region. While official measurements from multiple verified stations provide robust evidence, rare scenarios like data revisions from equipment recalibration or post-audit discrepancies could theoretically challenge this positioning, though such events are exceedingly uncommon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
交易量
$356,979结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 13, 2026, reached 34.6°C at Sheung Shui station, with other sites like Tai Lung and Ta Kwu Ling exceeding 33°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 31°C or higher. Sunny skies, low humidity, and a ridge of high pressure fostered intense afternoon heating typical of May's transition to summer, aligning with seasonal forecasts for above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends in the region. While official measurements from multiple verified stations provide robust evidence, rare scenarios like data revisions from equipment recalibration or post-audit discrepancies could theoretically challenge this positioning, though such events are exceedingly uncommon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$356,979结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Hong Kong Observatory observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 13, 2026, reached 34.6°C at Sheung Shui station, with other sites like Tai Lung and Ta Kwu Ling exceeding 33°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 31°C or higher. Sunny skies, low humidity, and a ridge of high pressure fostered intense afternoon heating typical of May's transition to summer, aligning with seasonal forecasts for above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends in the region. While official measurements from multiple verified stations provide robust evidence, rare scenarios like data revisions from equipment recalibration or post-audit discrepancies could theoretically challenge this positioning, though such events are exceedingly uncommon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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