Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 13°C at Wellington International Airport on May 15, 2026, backed by finalized observational data from the station as reported via Weather Underground—the market's official resolution source. MetService observations confirm the daily maximum peaked at 13°C amid persistent southerly winds (20-30 km/h) and extensive cloud cover, which suppressed daytime heating consistent with model consensus from earlier forecasts predicting highs of 12-14°C. This aligns with Wellington's climatological May averages near 14°C but reflects today's cool airflow regime. Realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization data revisions by recording agencies, as temperatures have since fallen below 12°C with no upward adjustments expected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on May 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 15?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$54,425 交易量
$54,425 交易量
2026-05-15
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$54,425 交易量
$54,425 交易量
2026-05-15
7°C or below
$1,307 交易量
No
8°C
$694 交易量
No
9°C
$1,781 交易量
No
10°C
$2,729 交易量
No
11°C
$1,784 交易量
No
12°C
$6,461 交易量
No
13°C
$12,706 交易量
Yes
14°C
$9,546 交易量
No
15°C
$5,719 交易量
No
16°C
$7,789 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$3,911 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 13°C at Wellington International Airport on May 15, 2026, backed by finalized observational data from the station as reported via Weather Underground—the market's official resolution source. MetService observations confirm the daily maximum peaked at 13°C amid persistent southerly winds (20-30 km/h) and extensive cloud cover, which suppressed daytime heating consistent with model consensus from earlier forecasts predicting highs of 12-14°C. This aligns with Wellington's climatological May averages near 14°C but reflects today's cool airflow regime. Realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization data revisions by recording agencies, as temperatures have since fallen below 12°C with no upward adjustments expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$54,425结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 13°C at Wellington International Airport on May 15, 2026, backed by finalized observational data from the station as reported via Weather Underground—the market's official resolution source. MetService observations confirm the daily maximum peaked at 13°C amid persistent southerly winds (20-30 km/h) and extensive cloud cover, which suppressed daytime heating consistent with model consensus from earlier forecasts predicting highs of 12-14°C. This aligns with Wellington's climatological May averages near 14°C but reflects today's cool airflow regime. Realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization data revisions by recording agencies, as temperatures have since fallen below 12°C with no upward adjustments expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$54,425结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 13°C at Wellington International Airport on May 15, 2026, backed by finalized observational data from the station as reported via Weather Underground—the market's official resolution source. MetService observations confirm the daily maximum peaked at 13°C amid persistent southerly winds (20-30 km/h) and extensive cloud cover, which suppressed daytime heating consistent with model consensus from earlier forecasts predicting highs of 12-14°C. This aligns with Wellington's climatological May averages near 14°C but reflects today's cool airflow regime. Realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization data revisions by recording agencies, as temperatures have since fallen below 12°C with no upward adjustments expected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题