Met Office's latest forecast, updated this morning, pins London's maximum temperature at 14°C today at London City Airport—the market's resolution site—driving trader consensus with persistent overcast skies and light showers capping solar heating despite mild northerly winds of 5-7 mph. Hourly projections show afternoon peaks of 13°C amid 40-60% rain chances through 5pm, reflecting model agreement on a shallow low-pressure system steering cool Atlantic air across southeast England. Recent overnight observations started at 9°C, aligning with climatological May norms but below recent warmer spells. Uncertainties hinge on afternoon shower clearance; fuller sunshine could nudge toward 15°C (10.5% implied odds), while heavier cloud favors 13°C (28.5%). Next hourly updates expected soon as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on May 15?
Highest temperature in London on May 15?
14°C 45%
13°C 43%
15°C 11%
12°C 4.3%
$149,049 交易量
$149,049 交易量
2026-05-15
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
43%
14°C
45%
15°C
11%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 45%
13°C 43%
15°C 11%
12°C 4.3%
$149,049 交易量
$149,049 交易量
2026-05-15
10°C
$23,514 交易量
<1%
11°C
$23,503 交易量
<1%
12°C
$16,520 交易量
4%
13°C
$11,508 交易量
43%
14°C
$9,938 交易量
45%
15°C
$14,098 交易量
11%
16°C
$11,593 交易量
1%
17°C
$7,083 交易量
<1%
18°C or higher
$8,288 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office's latest forecast, updated this morning, pins London's maximum temperature at 14°C today at London City Airport—the market's resolution site—driving trader consensus with persistent overcast skies and light showers capping solar heating despite mild northerly winds of 5-7 mph. Hourly projections show afternoon peaks of 13°C amid 40-60% rain chances through 5pm, reflecting model agreement on a shallow low-pressure system steering cool Atlantic air across southeast England. Recent overnight observations started at 9°C, aligning with climatological May norms but below recent warmer spells. Uncertainties hinge on afternoon shower clearance; fuller sunshine could nudge toward 15°C (10.5% implied odds), while heavier cloud favors 13°C (28.5%). Next hourly updates expected soon as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$149,049结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office's latest forecast, updated this morning, pins London's maximum temperature at 14°C today at London City Airport—the market's resolution site—driving trader consensus with persistent overcast skies and light showers capping solar heating despite mild northerly winds of 5-7 mph. Hourly projections show afternoon peaks of 13°C amid 40-60% rain chances through 5pm, reflecting model agreement on a shallow low-pressure system steering cool Atlantic air across southeast England. Recent overnight observations started at 9°C, aligning with climatological May norms but below recent warmer spells. Uncertainties hinge on afternoon shower clearance; fuller sunshine could nudge toward 15°C (10.5% implied odds), while heavier cloud favors 13°C (28.5%). Next hourly updates expected soon as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$149,049结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Met Office's latest forecast, updated this morning, pins London's maximum temperature at 14°C today at London City Airport—the market's resolution site—driving trader consensus with persistent overcast skies and light showers capping solar heating despite mild northerly winds of 5-7 mph. Hourly projections show afternoon peaks of 13°C amid 40-60% rain chances through 5pm, reflecting model agreement on a shallow low-pressure system steering cool Atlantic air across southeast England. Recent overnight observations started at 9°C, aligning with climatological May norms but below recent warmer spells. Uncertainties hinge on afternoon shower clearance; fuller sunshine could nudge toward 15°C (10.5% implied odds), while heavier cloud favors 13°C (28.5%). Next hourly updates expected soon as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题