Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C (37.5% implied probability) as Busan's highest temperature on May 15, closely trailed by 26°C (26.5%) and 24°C (22.0%), reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast models projecting daytime highs near 25–26°C under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds. This positioning stems from a high-pressure ridge dominating the Korean Peninsula, fostering above-seasonal warming after May 13–14 observations neared 24–26°C at nearby Gimhae Airport, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breezes that cap extremes. Mid-May climatology averages 22–24°C highs, but current ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 25°C with low precipitation risk. Monitor KMA's next 12-hour update for potential refinements amid typical coastal variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Busan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 15?
25°C 38%
26°C 27%
24°C 22%
27°C 11%
最新
$13,398 交易量
最新
$13,398 交易量
2026-05-15
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
22%
25°C
38%
26°C
27%
27°C
11%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 38%
26°C 27%
24°C 22%
27°C 11%
最新
$13,398 交易量
最新
$13,398 交易量
2026-05-15
19°C or below
$3,389 交易量
<1%
20°C
$2,134 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,352 交易量
<1%
22°C
$668 交易量
1%
23°C
$1,352 交易量
2%
24°C
$767 交易量
22%
25°C
$459 交易量
38%
26°C
$437 交易量
27%
27°C
$1,080 交易量
11%
28°C
$1,230 交易量
2%
29°C or higher
$537 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C (37.5% implied probability) as Busan's highest temperature on May 15, closely trailed by 26°C (26.5%) and 24°C (22.0%), reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast models projecting daytime highs near 25–26°C under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds. This positioning stems from a high-pressure ridge dominating the Korean Peninsula, fostering above-seasonal warming after May 13–14 observations neared 24–26°C at nearby Gimhae Airport, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breezes that cap extremes. Mid-May climatology averages 22–24°C highs, but current ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 25°C with low precipitation risk. Monitor KMA's next 12-hour update for potential refinements amid typical coastal variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
交易量
$13,398结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C (37.5% implied probability) as Busan's highest temperature on May 15, closely trailed by 26°C (26.5%) and 24°C (22.0%), reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast models projecting daytime highs near 25–26°C under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds. This positioning stems from a high-pressure ridge dominating the Korean Peninsula, fostering above-seasonal warming after May 13–14 observations neared 24–26°C at nearby Gimhae Airport, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breezes that cap extremes. Mid-May climatology averages 22–24°C highs, but current ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 25°C with low precipitation risk. Monitor KMA's next 12-hour update for potential refinements amid typical coastal variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$13,398结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C (37.5% implied probability) as Busan's highest temperature on May 15, closely trailed by 26°C (26.5%) and 24°C (22.0%), reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast models projecting daytime highs near 25–26°C under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds. This positioning stems from a high-pressure ridge dominating the Korean Peninsula, fostering above-seasonal warming after May 13–14 observations neared 24–26°C at nearby Gimhae Airport, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breezes that cap extremes. Mid-May climatology averages 22–24°C highs, but current ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 25°C with low precipitation risk. Monitor KMA's next 12-hour update for potential refinements amid typical coastal variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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