Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45% implied probability for a 64-65°F high at San Francisco International Airport (SFO) on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts indicating partly sunny conditions with highs near 65°F amid persistent marine layer stratus clouds and moderate west winds of 10-15 mph. This positioning reflects convergence in recent GFS and ECMWF model runs showing limited inland warming potential due to cool Pacific air advection and delayed coastal burn-off, consistent with May climatology where SFO averages 67°F but often dips into the low 60s under similar onshore flow patterns observed over the past week (e.g., May 11 high of 71°F followed by cooler 60s). Key uncertainty lies in afternoon clearing timing, which could push toward 66-67°F (24% odds); final NWS updates expected this evening ahead of hourly observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 16?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 16?
64-65°F 43%
66-67°F 24%
62-63°F 22%
68°F or higher 11%
最新
最新
2026-05-16
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
43%
66-67°F
24%
68°F or higher
11%
64-65°F 43%
66-67°F 24%
62-63°F 22%
68°F or higher 11%
最新
最新
2026-05-16
49°F or below
$1,005 交易量
<1%
50-51°F
$608 交易量
<1%
52-53°F
$535 交易量
<1%
54-55°F
$445 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$101 交易量
1%
58-59°F
$351 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$661 交易量
4%
62-63°F
$839 交易量
22%
64-65°F
$517 交易量
43%
66-67°F
$307 交易量
24%
68°F or higher
$523 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45% implied probability for a 64-65°F high at San Francisco International Airport (SFO) on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts indicating partly sunny conditions with highs near 65°F amid persistent marine layer stratus clouds and moderate west winds of 10-15 mph. This positioning reflects convergence in recent GFS and ECMWF model runs showing limited inland warming potential due to cool Pacific air advection and delayed coastal burn-off, consistent with May climatology where SFO averages 67°F but often dips into the low 60s under similar onshore flow patterns observed over the past week (e.g., May 11 high of 71°F followed by cooler 60s). Key uncertainty lies in afternoon clearing timing, which could push toward 66-67°F (24% odds); final NWS updates expected this evening ahead of hourly observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
交易量
$5,892结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45% implied probability for a 64-65°F high at San Francisco International Airport (SFO) on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts indicating partly sunny conditions with highs near 65°F amid persistent marine layer stratus clouds and moderate west winds of 10-15 mph. This positioning reflects convergence in recent GFS and ECMWF model runs showing limited inland warming potential due to cool Pacific air advection and delayed coastal burn-off, consistent with May climatology where SFO averages 67°F but often dips into the low 60s under similar onshore flow patterns observed over the past week (e.g., May 11 high of 71°F followed by cooler 60s). Key uncertainty lies in afternoon clearing timing, which could push toward 66-67°F (24% odds); final NWS updates expected this evening ahead of hourly observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,892结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45% implied probability for a 64-65°F high at San Francisco International Airport (SFO) on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts indicating partly sunny conditions with highs near 65°F amid persistent marine layer stratus clouds and moderate west winds of 10-15 mph. This positioning reflects convergence in recent GFS and ECMWF model runs showing limited inland warming potential due to cool Pacific air advection and delayed coastal burn-off, consistent with May climatology where SFO averages 67°F but often dips into the low 60s under similar onshore flow patterns observed over the past week (e.g., May 11 high of 71°F followed by cooler 60s). Key uncertainty lies in afternoon clearing timing, which could push toward 66-67°F (24% odds); final NWS updates expected this evening ahead of hourly observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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