Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight moderate radiative cooling under mostly clear overnight conditions as the key driver keeping Seoul's expected minimum temperature clustered around 15–17°C for May 19. Springtime high-pressure dominance favors light winds and efficient surface heat loss after daytime maxima near 23°C, while subtle northeasterly flow may introduce slightly cooler marine air. Ensemble model runs show tight agreement on these values, with limited upside risk from increased cloud cover or stronger advection that could push readings lower. Historical May climatology places average overnight lows near 13°C, underscoring how this event sits slightly above baseline yet remains sensitive to final 48-hour adjustments in boundary-layer moisture and wind shear. Traders weigh these variables closely ahead of the official KMA verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月19日首尔最低温度?
16°C 21%
15°C 19%
17°C 16%
18°C 15%
13°C或以下
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
19%
16°C
21%
17°C
11%
18°C
11%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C或以上
1%
16°C 21%
15°C 19%
17°C 16%
18°C 15%
13°C或以下
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
19%
16°C
21%
17°C
11%
18°C
11%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight moderate radiative cooling under mostly clear overnight conditions as the key driver keeping Seoul's expected minimum temperature clustered around 15–17°C for May 19. Springtime high-pressure dominance favors light winds and efficient surface heat loss after daytime maxima near 23°C, while subtle northeasterly flow may introduce slightly cooler marine air. Ensemble model runs show tight agreement on these values, with limited upside risk from increased cloud cover or stronger advection that could push readings lower. Historical May climatology places average overnight lows near 13°C, underscoring how this event sits slightly above baseline yet remains sensitive to final 48-hour adjustments in boundary-layer moisture and wind shear. Traders weigh these variables closely ahead of the official KMA verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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