Current numerical weather models from the Korea Meteorological Administration place Seoul’s overnight minimum for May 18 within the 13–16 °C range, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes and mid-May climatology that typically records lows between 12 °C and 18 °C. Differences among these buckets hinge on the precise timing and strength of any frontal boundary crossing the peninsula, southerly warm-air advection, or enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies. Model consensus currently favors the central 14 °C and 13 °C scenarios, yet small shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could nudge the reading toward 15 °C or 16 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and official observations before resolution will provide the clearest signals for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日首尔气温最低？
5月18日首尔气温最低？
14°C 27%
13°C 24%
15°C 18%
16°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
11°C或以下
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
24%
14°C
27%
15°C
18%
16°C
19%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
1%
14°C 27%
13°C 24%
15°C 18%
16°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
11°C或以下
$122 交易量
1%
12°C
$65 交易量
3%
13°C
$10 交易量
24%
14°C
$2 交易量
27%
15°C
$24 交易量
18%
16°C
$15 交易量
19%
17°C
$358 交易量
1%
18°C
$162 交易量
1%
19°C
$112 交易量
1%
20°C
$125 交易量
<1%
21°C或更高
$152 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather models from the Korea Meteorological Administration place Seoul’s overnight minimum for May 18 within the 13–16 °C range, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes and mid-May climatology that typically records lows between 12 °C and 18 °C. Differences among these buckets hinge on the precise timing and strength of any frontal boundary crossing the peninsula, southerly warm-air advection, or enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies. Model consensus currently favors the central 14 °C and 13 °C scenarios, yet small shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could nudge the reading toward 15 °C or 16 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and official observations before resolution will provide the clearest signals for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,148结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather models from the Korea Meteorological Administration place Seoul’s overnight minimum for May 18 within the 13–16 °C range, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes and mid-May climatology that typically records lows between 12 °C and 18 °C. Differences among these buckets hinge on the precise timing and strength of any frontal boundary crossing the peninsula, southerly warm-air advection, or enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies. Model consensus currently favors the central 14 °C and 13 °C scenarios, yet small shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could nudge the reading toward 15 °C or 16 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and official observations before resolution will provide the clearest signals for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,148结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent numerical weather models from the Korea Meteorological Administration place Seoul’s overnight minimum for May 18 within the 13–16 °C range, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes and mid-May climatology that typically records lows between 12 °C and 18 °C. Differences among these buckets hinge on the precise timing and strength of any frontal boundary crossing the peninsula, southerly warm-air advection, or enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies. Model consensus currently favors the central 14 °C and 13 °C scenarios, yet small shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could nudge the reading toward 15 °C or 16 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and official observations before resolution will provide the clearest signals for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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