Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble models currently converge on a Seoul nighttime minimum of 14°C for May 16, supported by mostly clear skies and light southerly winds that enable efficient radiative cooling after sunset. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatology at the Seoul Central Observatory, where historical overnight lows typically range from 12°C to 16°C under similar transitional spring conditions. Trader consensus at 99.5% for exactly 14°C reflects the strength of this short-range model agreement and recent drier air mass that has limited urban heat retention. A late forecast shift introducing increased cloud cover, stronger winds, or unexpected moisture could realistically push the observed low into adjacent buckets, though current observational trends show no such divergence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月16日首尔最低气温?
14°C 99.4%
13°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$40,624 交易量
$40,624 交易量
13°C或以下
1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C或以上
<1%
14°C 99.4%
13°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$40,624 交易量
$40,624 交易量
13°C或以下
1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble models currently converge on a Seoul nighttime minimum of 14°C for May 16, supported by mostly clear skies and light southerly winds that enable efficient radiative cooling after sunset. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatology at the Seoul Central Observatory, where historical overnight lows typically range from 12°C to 16°C under similar transitional spring conditions. Trader consensus at 99.5% for exactly 14°C reflects the strength of this short-range model agreement and recent drier air mass that has limited urban heat retention. A late forecast shift introducing increased cloud cover, stronger winds, or unexpected moisture could realistically push the observed low into adjacent buckets, though current observational trends show no such divergence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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