Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 29°C on May 15, 2026, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and China Meteorological Administration indicators showing a daily high of 84°F (29°C) amid mostly cloudy skies and persistent humidity near 80%. This aligns with recent observations—28°C on May 14 and 26°C on May 13—reflecting suppressed solar heating from overcast conditions following an early-month peak near 31°C. Current readings at 2 p.m. local time already hit 84°F, with minimal diurnal warming expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks allowing extra insolation, though model ensembles show low likelihood before resolution at midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$69,294 交易量
$69,294 交易量
2026-05-15
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$69,294 交易量
$69,294 交易量
2026-05-15
29°C
$11,760 交易量
100%
30°C
$5,730 交易量
<1%
31°C
$7,304 交易量
<1%
32°C
$5,873 交易量
<1%
33°C
$3,113 交易量
<1%
34°C
$1,095 交易量
<1%
35°C
$2,555 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$3,010 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 29°C on May 15, 2026, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and China Meteorological Administration indicators showing a daily high of 84°F (29°C) amid mostly cloudy skies and persistent humidity near 80%. This aligns with recent observations—28°C on May 14 and 26°C on May 13—reflecting suppressed solar heating from overcast conditions following an early-month peak near 31°C. Current readings at 2 p.m. local time already hit 84°F, with minimal diurnal warming expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks allowing extra insolation, though model ensembles show low likelihood before resolution at midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
交易量
$69,294结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 29°C on May 15, 2026, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and China Meteorological Administration indicators showing a daily high of 84°F (29°C) amid mostly cloudy skies and persistent humidity near 80%. This aligns with recent observations—28°C on May 14 and 26°C on May 13—reflecting suppressed solar heating from overcast conditions following an early-month peak near 31°C. Current readings at 2 p.m. local time already hit 84°F, with minimal diurnal warming expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks allowing extra insolation, though model ensembles show low likelihood before resolution at midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$69,294结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 29°C on May 15, 2026, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and China Meteorological Administration indicators showing a daily high of 84°F (29°C) amid mostly cloudy skies and persistent humidity near 80%. This aligns with recent observations—28°C on May 14 and 26°C on May 13—reflecting suppressed solar heating from overcast conditions following an early-month peak near 31°C. Current readings at 2 p.m. local time already hit 84°F, with minimal diurnal warming expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks allowing extra insolation, though model ensembles show low likelihood before resolution at midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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