Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on May 14, driven by official observations from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Changi Airport climate station, which recorded a daytime peak of 33°C amid persistent high humidity and afternoon thundery showers typical of early May's inter-monsoon conditions. These showers, forecast by NEA for most days this fortnight, suppressed potential for higher readings beyond the climatological May average high of 32–33°C at the station. Scenarios challenging this include a late data revision from preliminary hourly logs or an anomalous microburst heat spike before midnight, though model consensus and historical patterns make such shifts improbable as the resolution window closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Singapore on May 14?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$88,964 交易量
$88,964 交易量
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$88,964 交易量
$88,964 交易量
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on May 14, driven by official observations from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Changi Airport climate station, which recorded a daytime peak of 33°C amid persistent high humidity and afternoon thundery showers typical of early May's inter-monsoon conditions. These showers, forecast by NEA for most days this fortnight, suppressed potential for higher readings beyond the climatological May average high of 32–33°C at the station. Scenarios challenging this include a late data revision from preliminary hourly logs or an anomalous microburst heat spike before midnight, though model consensus and historical patterns make such shifts improbable as the resolution window closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题