Recent inter-monsoon conditions, including light variable winds and frequent afternoon thundery showers, are the primary driver positioning 32°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 41% for Singapore’s highest temperature on May 17. The Meteorological Service Singapore and National Environment Agency forecasts anticipate maxima in the 33–35°C range under typical warm, humid patterns, yet persistent convection and potential Sumatra squalls are expected to increase cloud cover, reducing solar heating and capping peaks near the May climatological average of 32.3°C. Recent April highs reaching 35.5°C contrast with moderated readings on days with early shower onset, creating uncertainty around exact timing that favors 31–33°C buckets collectively exceeding 85%. Updated official 24-hour guidance will refine these probabilities as land-sea breeze interactions and localized rainfall evolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡5月17日的最高温度?
32°C 39%
33°C or higher 27%
31°C 22%
30°C 12%
$13,839 交易量
$13,839 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
12%
31°C
22%
32°C
39%
33°C or higher
27%
32°C 39%
33°C or higher 27%
31°C 22%
30°C 12%
$13,839 交易量
$13,839 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
12%
31°C
22%
32°C
39%
33°C or higher
27%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent inter-monsoon conditions, including light variable winds and frequent afternoon thundery showers, are the primary driver positioning 32°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 41% for Singapore’s highest temperature on May 17. The Meteorological Service Singapore and National Environment Agency forecasts anticipate maxima in the 33–35°C range under typical warm, humid patterns, yet persistent convection and potential Sumatra squalls are expected to increase cloud cover, reducing solar heating and capping peaks near the May climatological average of 32.3°C. Recent April highs reaching 35.5°C contrast with moderated readings on days with early shower onset, creating uncertainty around exact timing that favors 31–33°C buckets collectively exceeding 85%. Updated official 24-hour guidance will refine these probabilities as land-sea breeze interactions and localized rainfall evolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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